CoastalWx

Not on the holiday. Blows. Can’t do anything outside.

Fuck the rain. Wish it was a sunny T Day.

It’s shit no matter the track. No cold. Looks like we have a lousy T day now.

I’d also keep an eye on the 2-3 too with that s/w.

Zero cold. Let’s whiff at this point and save the day.

He, Dendy, and Randy top of list.

Rough crowd in here this morning. Waiting to see if AmWx admins are on the list of Diddy freakoff attendees.

This close out and seeing a whiff vs a Rainer makes me wonder if a compromise is in order.

I don’t know, might be early to write it off totally.

Yeah wouldn’t mind being outside for a bit vs 41 and rain.

People freaking out over a possible thanksgiving miss.

That’s not 01-02

You mean people like Margarbage?

Euro AI still in development mode. I haven’t had time to figure out an opinion on it yet.

Would rather whiff and have a nice Thanksgiving.

Euro is a shit airmass.

If we whiff, it’s from a totally different reason though, not from a pig ridge over us. We could be dry for a bit in the heart of the cold although can’t rule out something from a shortwave moving through next week. I was talking to Will yesterday about it. Think maybe after the 5th or so might be better for storm chances. Perhaps keep an eye out 12/2-12/3 though.

6z gfs total whiff

Torch at 925.

LOL. Yeah that sounds right. I’m hopeful with the ensemble look. That end of the EPS looks pretty darn strong out west with the ridging. Doesn’t look to break down anytime soon verbatim. Obvious that caveats apply, but that’s the first time I’ve felt somewhat optimistic in a long time. When you brought up that point about having a -NAO with a workable Pacific, but a terrible WPO….I literally had chills. I remember specifically looking at the models and I remember bringing up the point about I could see that Bering Sea trough fuck up and break down the temporary decent Pacific. Sure enough that happened. Ugh. I want to vomit now.

Yep

It’s really marginal at 925 in many areas of New England. So elevation would be key.

18z GFS

That airmass will be tough to work with next week around these parts until maybe the very end. Or, it just goes nuclear offshore, but not sure that’s a likely solution.

Yeah can always get something zipping by to raise the holiday moods.