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CoastalWx

Meteorologist
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Everything posted by CoastalWx

  1. I know Will and Chris were talking about it, but that run is pure nrn stream. I suppose maybe srn stream helps loosen up heights down in the south for it to dig, but that’s mostly nrn stream.
  2. That's great the clown ensemble guidance consensus shows a nice hit. Ukie looks like a whiff and we wait for the real model to come out soon.
  3. It’s been pretty bad in the 3-7 day period. I can’t tell you how many times I’ve said “oh look it’s moving towards the euro..” when looking ahead for risk outlooks etc. Maybe this time the GFS gets a win. From a met community standpoint, it really brings down the value of the meteorologist when you have one dominant medium range model.
  4. Yeah it’s got a general cool bias, but loves to flood ORH with the marine layer. Go figure.
  5. I definitely will, as usual...just about scheduling. He’s a big skier and was talking about all the places around Stowe as well. Between the lake there, BTV, and all the ski areas with top notch bars and restaurants, you got a good thing going.
  6. We might have to send Diane back if that happens. But yeah, it’s fast flow and sheared with cold pressing south, but also ridging pumping up ahead of ejecting s/w in the Plains. So you see how it’s all about timing. We’ll need that s/w in the plains to help phase with some of that s/w energy ejecting out of the Southwest US.
  7. Had a real nice conversation with some of my wife’s family living in Winooski VT. Of course it turned into Breweries. I got to get up there. I’m sure PF and Jspin know of these places he was rattling off, but sounds like a great time.
  8. Definitely some man cold (sorry Diane) coming next weekend and then maybe another shot the week after.
  9. Get in and stay with deep ass cold. And yes it’s disturbing Sunday morning conversation.
  10. 33 again with frost. Still yet to crack 32.
  11. It’s going to be cold next weekend. despite the timing issues, always need to watch systems coming out of the south.
  12. Eps a little flat at 18z. I think it also shows you that’s it’s a bit of a needle threader too. Not a surprise in the early season. Regardless, still early either way.
  13. Feels like the GFS just doesn't know what to do with the srn energy. The mean does appear to try and give us some precip from the srn impulse.
  14. GFS is a fropa, and GGEM a little amped for the 8th.
  15. EPS almost looks anafrontal...which may actually help early in the season and limit WAA.
  16. Happy Birthday to the Mother of all Winter reverends. Yessah!! Hallelujah. Enjoy the day, Kev.
  17. PNA may try to spike on the EPS, so we may not have much of a warm up through mid month. The weeklies did try to modify and mild up later in the month.
  18. It's something to watch at least. Canadian sort of has a flat wave developing SE of us too.
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