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CoastalWx

Meteorologist
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Everything posted by CoastalWx

  1. CoastalWx
    All around. But with NE winds, a bit warmer in tornado alley where you are.
  2. CoastalWx
    Looks like a nice break early next week on the coast. Glad we here.
  3. CoastalWx
    You guys can keep the swamp. Just enough rain to make the plants happy.
  4. CoastalWx
    NAM is rather impressive on Friday.
  5. CoastalWx
    Unfortunately it's his own stuff. It's just another way of viewing it instead of the legacy SST anomalies. I think some of the faux Nino talk was also from some of the model forecast of SST anomalies. The Euro has had a big warm bias, but this time around the spread was much tighter. Also, the forecasts from previous months, and the actual values that the ensemble members started from...were fairly close. Another words, the Euro seasonal did not exhibit such a month to month warm bias like previous years had.
  6. CoastalWx
    Ventrice has an interesting product that also looks at low frequency forcing..IE where the areas of overall upper level divergence and convergence are. It will be interesting to see how Nino behaves in the Fall. Sometimes it doesn't line up with the anomalies and that sort of throws a wrench into things.
  7. CoastalWx
    How is he designating ENSO? Which monthly period? Fall..winter? That all matters. Is it from MEI? ONI?
  8. CoastalWx
    I have not looked. I'll probably wait until September to start looking.
  9. CoastalWx
    Yeah in no way can you claim what ENSO will do..especially whether it's east or west. The next couple of months become more crucial.
  10. CoastalWx
    It's not spinning...at least from me. But, when I look at the big picture..I don't see a huge change. I do think we could sneak in a day or two where it could get more refreshing, but it may not last.
  11. CoastalWx
    I guess it’s subjective to a point, but other than a day or two here or there I see absolutely nothing that tells me a true pattern change or back is broken to summer, is in order.
  12. CoastalWx
    Back is broken!
  13. CoastalWx
    They’ve been pounded since mid July.
  14. CoastalWx
    I’m just joking. It doesn’t mean much in the summer.
  15. CoastalWx
    You guys will dry out this winter.
  16. CoastalWx
    Gonna be tough to wash the pony-Os when the well runs dry.
  17. CoastalWx
    We’ve had a semi-permanent trough in the Midwest since July though. Deep srly flow ahead of it will soak anyone in the summer.
  18. CoastalWx
    Frustrated we vacation there.
  19. CoastalWx
    Summer was good here. Could have used a bit more rain, but weather was nice for summer activities.
  20. CoastalWx
    .75” here over last two days. Perfect for the plants and grass.
  21. CoastalWx
    More flooding in SE MA by Somerset.
  22. CoastalWx
    Definitely not true lol.
  23. CoastalWx
    Well I think we all know model biases and when to cut it some slack. Like missing a deformation band by 30-50 miles. That can happen and is well within modeling error. I guess my point is, it played into the hands of guidance being too “wet” when there is the potential for convection to screw around with the advection processes. People went verbatim with it, and there were caution flags.
  24. CoastalWx
    2011. That started over my place in Dorchester. We must have had an inch of rain in less than 10 minutes. To this day possibly the hardest I’ve ever seen it rain for a prolonged period of time. Completely flooded everything. First time I ever was legit scared of my condo getting flooded. I was out there at 4am diverting water from my condo.
  25. CoastalWx
    Yeah dry and sunny.
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