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CoastalWx

Meteorologist
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Everything posted by CoastalWx

  1. 5 days out is still in the realm of wild solutions....even the ensembles. At least the ensembles showed a lot of spread, meaning nothing was close to a lock. You cannot take day 4-5 as gospel.
  2. At least the euro had something. The GFS for days had absolutely nothing at all. But yeah, overall not the best performance from guidance. However, these type of set ups, are difficult on models.
  3. Between Friday and next week, should be a great start. Enjoy bro. I hope to get my son on skis and excited to tackle the slopes hopefully this winter after years of not doing so.
  4. Yeah that was a good event prior to Jan blizz. I think we had near 15" as well.
  5. Looks like a -EPO/+PNA look through week 4 albeit the signal does weaken. Looks like we flirt with some weak ridging off the East Coast with the central US remaining rather chilly. Week 5 and 6 do turn a little hostile...but we know the caveats of the weeklies.
  6. 6z Euro is flatter again. Puts the area near the MA/NH/VT border more into play.
  7. I have trouble buying that. The RPM is rather unstable beyond 48 hrs out.
  8. Whether it's the 12z or 00z runs....the GFS is 4th....freaking 4th place in accuracy for H5 heights at day 5. The Canadian is ahead of it. What a disgrace. https://www.emc.ncep.noaa.gov/gmb/STATS_vsdb/12Z/
  9. Higher than normal chance, and I'm not just saying a trace. Obviously need to be careful with my words because someone will twist it, but I think you know what I mean.
  10. If he sees flakes on Friday morning, he'll be giddy as a school boy. But man, look at the next couple of weeks. How can anyone complain in November. I'll be careful with my words here, but it seems like a much higher than norrmal chance of areas getting their first measurable before Thanksgiving.
  11. I’ll sell the RPM. As much as it would be nice. Surprised because that’s the one model that I’d expect to have Mai Tai’s and Bengal Tigers with a low going into CYUL.
  12. Jesus you think this would be January the way some of you are about to jump off a bridge. There’s a few more threats in the pipeline and it’s only November. Many winters just don’t even have this at all.
  13. The whole congrats PF is a joke anyways. It’s mostly to troll Kevin.
  14. Man a few threats from now until day 15 or so. Looks fairly active even if none of them are large threats.
  15. Well the whole mess itself. That was when the gfs had nothing and way out to sea. I think we all said anything was on the table, but also It could come north. Frankly I’m a little surprised the euro flopped like that and its ensembles. But day 4ish give or take....that can happen. Doesn’t change much of what I expected here, but matters for the interior. Who knows, maybe more changes today.
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