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CoastalWx

Meteorologist
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Everything posted by CoastalWx

  1. No 50/50 low yet, and the s/w digs into Plains as the ridge out west is a little too far west for our liking. We'll need to shift that east and/or have a better 50/50 low. So NYE might have a better chance.
  2. Maybe not zero chance next week, but looks low to me. Kind of bad timing, Maybe better chance NYE, but that is also dicey.
  3. Might be primed for a good Ray melt next week.
  4. Sort of like what you have for the low near NYE. Block established and good airmass.
  5. LOL I’m just saying it’s possible you get this to wrap up without a stronger antecedent airmass. Also on the gfs, it’s not a west based block, but more into southern Greenland. A west based block allows more of a chance for this to go underneath SNE.
  6. Yep. At least tropical characteristics anyways. I know they are or planned to look at this.
  7. That was more of a hybrid nor’easter. Damage all over. Even inland.
  8. It’s an option too. I’m not sold on snow.
  9. Yeah if you like rain. Icon was rain to Syracuse. Too wrapped up and blocky.
  10. It does split, but you know how these go. It may not mean anything if the connection to the troposphere is not there.
  11. Far away, but possible. Even the EPS looks like that. Blocky patterns do weird things.
  12. That's definitely a high stakes pattern. Either all or nothing it seems...Snow or rain. I suppose we could have one of each.
  13. I thought it would become more dateline ridging, but I was wrong there too. MJO looks potentially active in typical Nina areas, but I don't see a response yet. Maybe that happens in January?
  14. There's always the Canadian with rains to Maines.
  15. It's hard to say with possible inversions. It could be similar.
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