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CoastalWx

Meteorologist
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Everything posted by CoastalWx

  1. Ukie is getting ready to tee one up as well.
  2. I'll tell you what, given the Gulf wave and the nrn stream trying to phase...if you want a big boy low...that's the way to do it right there.
  3. I am out as in I'm not sold on it, but it would be silly to rule anything out.
  4. It probably was a good condition for moisture to be wrung out near the spine there. That's pretty cool.
  5. That's a steep gradient. I know being at 3K helped in the SE flow part of the storm when temps were warmer, but I didn't think 3K had more than 4-5" more vs 1500ft in that first part? Either way, that's a sweet dump.
  6. The look definitely works for a brief time.
  7. EPS looks better. Don't do it Scooter.
  8. It was, that "bust" from me is for the next event.
  9. When will there be a level headed SVR discussion?
  10. That’s pretty much the only possibilities at this time. But even that spike is sort of transient at 3/6. I wish we could shake this up.
  11. You can never shut the door on March, agree. It's just the same ole crap on the EPS. I was hoping we'd get some classic March buckling of the flow..but no sign of that quite yet.
  12. Any model at any given time will have a "window." The pattern overall doesn't look promising. It's going to take a thread the needle event I think. Good luck.
  13. It's a joke predicated on Typhoon Tip's posts about Hadley Cell expansion that will gobble us all up.
  14. I don't even look at the GEFS anymore. They are irrelevant.
  15. Only posts like that made a month out naturally won’t always verify. Apples to oranges when a thread fails two days out.
  16. 0.4” here this month. This winter needs to go eff itself. Luckily it’s over. We warm up late next week and then mid Morch.
  17. All signs point towards a warm period after the 12th or so.
  18. You need a lot to go right for 80. Rare stuff. 70 easier, but still not easy. Pattern could support that briefly I guess.
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