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CoastalWx

Meteorologist
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Everything posted by CoastalWx

  1. Looks like strongest winds there at 950 are in between the times you posted. That's how fast it will be moving. In and out.
  2. The key is behind the line of shwrs. That's when laps rates steepen and when best winds occur. Not ahead of it.
  3. I think it is possible at your elevation. You basically need to mix, so note I said "possible." That's the difference between 40 and 60.
  4. Ryan posted the OKX sounding at 12 Z. That is pretty nuts for NYC.
  5. I do think the threat is real in SW CT for sure.
  6. Yeah wiz, I don’t know about a strong type of tornado, but with these TCs you get a lot of EF1s and maybe even an EF2. I think for us it depends on that arc of cells that is off the Delmarva. But I’m not sure how much oomph that has when it comes up here. The peak of the tornado stuff I think is now in the Delmarva.
  7. Oh nice didn’t see that. But that’s where the LLJ was so that’s good verification.
  8. Yeah the coast there for an hour or two could be fun
  9. So far haven’t seen super impressive obs down south. I did see ORF with 53kts.
  10. I think those winds Are more for srn CT area. And yeah the tornado threat is legit for sure. But both NAM and gfs bufkit show 50kt potential in a lot of areas.
  11. I think you’ll also want to watch the Obs in Jersey to see how the winds are doing.
  12. We need to have a sub-forum tutorial for bufkit. It’s much better to look at that for winds instead of weenie wind maps.
  13. Will be a good storm. I just wish we could have some rain LOL.
  14. Not sure why SPC did srn ct now? That is for later when those arc of cells swing through. If anything you could argue western CT and NY state might need one currently.
  15. Not much change since last night. I think some of the uber wind solutions came back down to Earth, but looks like a lot of 50-60 stuff with some places gusting higher.
  16. Yeah winds rapidly move in but, also clear out quick. What you see south of SNE at 21z is already beginning to move off after 00z.
  17. I didn’t see that output verbatim. Maybe Brian has it? It’s from Plymouth state. My guess is probably similar where you are and a little stronger in srn CT.
  18. That’s darn good with little to no inversion. Nam is also bone dry too lol.
  19. I think just after those shwrs. Lapse rates briefly steepen a bit as the core LLJ moves in,
  20. What dendy posted. The NAM.
  21. Ray, sweet call. I definitely did not think a higher end cat 1. Weenie tip to you.
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