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CoastalWx

Meteorologist
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Everything posted by CoastalWx

  1. The euro was throwing out 6-8” amounts days in advance. I thought it was modeled extremely well. And then when the nam was within range I recall seeing 8-10”+ amounts in SE PA into NJ. That then moved towards NYC.
  2. Whatever happens should be done by Saturday morning. Maybe half the day is meh at worst? At least how it looks now. It could change.
  3. Looks good to me right now. Doesn’t look exciting for weather here.
  4. It honestly was lol. Models were locked in for heavy precipitation. I get your point though, but the potential for this is limited. Does not appear exciting to me.
  5. We knew it would hit with big time flash flooding. The death toll is an unfortunate result, but it was forecasted well. There were no surprises from that.
  6. I don’t expect much of anything. At least in terms of excitement.
  7. Nah looks good on guidance. We aren’t getting much from that and looks to be more late week.
  8. That storm pissed me off. I remember watching the radar show that band rotting and just sputtering bands to the east.
  9. Heard they busted a big ring in nrn Maine for that. Tamarack?
  10. This evening. You are about 10 miles from quite a bit earlier. It’s convective. Have and have nots.
  11. Yeah..I remember looking out that morning near dawn and being like holy shit. We didn't get 20", but I remember thinking that was more than I expected.
  12. Gonna be weenie heavy downpours near MHT. Probably quick 2”
  13. Haha The Schwoegler backlash storm. That guy loved him some backlash. A weenie note...look at the conditions in Revere vs Scituate. Can tell Revere was on the cold side of the CF.
  14. I have needed to mow at least once a week all summer. I have never had that happen. Last year I went weeks without mowing. My water bill is like half of previous summers. I haven't watered, outside of typical plants that dry out on the deck. That is unheard of.
  15. "Futurecast" could be from any model. I think most use the RPM or GRAF, but some show the HRRR too. The thing is, I don't think anybody mentions or displays the model type on air. So I can see where it leads to confusion. Also, that is one snapshot. I'll take hi res models like an ensemble. Look at trends, see if the same area is identified for heavy rain etc. The run to run of the HRRR won't always show the same area getting mauled, but I can get an idea from a multitude of runs showing the same similar geographical area getting nailed.
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