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CoastalWx

Meteorologist
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Everything posted by CoastalWx

  1. I kind of hope even if it’s rain here, we flip to a couple of inches of paste. Would be a win.
  2. Yep, agree with you guys. The first half of January looked pretty tough from a ways out. The fact maybe some areas in SNE can score would be a bonus.
  3. Well either way, get the snow where it needs to be first. Lay the foundation down when we get the blocking (hopefully) and Scooter HP nosing in that cold over the natural refrigeration.
  4. Ironically the airmass for the mixed deal is better than this one to start out.
  5. EPS still has the s/w pretty far west and the low tied to the baroclinic zone near the EC. It does try for that lobe to eject out with cyclogenesis south of LI. But we may toast 850 on down for awhile.
  6. Or perhaps guidance like the op run is just not going to figure out this s/w dance for a couple of days and we’ll have some more run to run changes.
  7. It does try to get a lobe going under us near hr 114, but the airmass is so toasted with a shitty high sort of retreating again. So basically we’ll need that lobe to really eject off to the east, and then you hope winds turn NE-N with cooler air in the low levels and thickness crashing and height falls aloft. Not always a good combo to bank on
  8. This place makes me Laugh. Hopefully we get more to track soon.
  9. It’s really warm too. I just don’t like the s/w as you said.
  10. Needs some work with the warm tongue above it, but some more sleet and snow for Dave and Ray. Hippy too.
  11. Not really south for tomorrow system. Just comes in faster and mid levels a bit cooler.
  12. That’s how I see it for near 90 in north? I’m not sure it matters much in CT. Not for a two day event anyways.
  13. You’re struggling for half inch QPF in some areas and a 6-9 hr burst of precip with light stuff after. You really need a much longer duration.
  14. This was always more of a pike north issue and even so, that area won’t have huge impacts to things like trees wires etc. My thoughts have not changed for days.
  15. Huh? This is no big deal 84 on down. I don’t see a multi day ice threat with crippling effects. And also, not sure why this was a competition.
  16. Ray may get his wet snow crusher on the ukie and gfs para. We
  17. An interesting qpf distribution near the center. Probably a little more widespread than it shows.
  18. Seems like the trend overall is colder. Just need to get a good initial thump.
  19. It could be icy there? The problem I think with you is that winds sort of go more east and it warms up quite a bit aloft. So you’ll glaze, but then probably go to a 33 rain as we don’t have a good mechanism to keep the cold in.
  20. Reggie is pretty cold. Man 2010 MLK meltdown cutoff there.
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