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CoastalWx

Meteorologist
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Everything posted by CoastalWx

  1. Ginx can still go sledding on 3" of fluff. Grandkids hitting rocks and sent to hospital with concussions.
  2. It did keep the persistence with the low east of ACY vs the other runs. I think a step in the right direction. That looks more like other models.
  3. Spoiled weenies. Wait until you all go 4 years without a 10" storm. 12" moderate.
  4. I think people expect 8-12" events to grow on trees after the last decade, but in reality they don't have a return rate that is frequent if you look at climo. When I look at that, I consider 8-12 (especially 12") to be a major event.
  5. Since when is like 8-12 with lollis to more a MDT event?
  6. Might get a lot of lingering -SN on guidance near the coast after it ends.
  7. Yeah I think 8-12 would cover many areas, maybe a narrow area getting it more where the mesoscale fronto is. I still think those north of pike may get into decent fronto. Even you Ray.
  8. NAM goes nuts for a variety of reasons..lol. I do think That area near UNV on N and E get smoked due to the mid levels closing off and going to town. That is jack zone IMO.
  9. I looked at hr 60 on 12k and 3K nam and don't see any appreciable difference.
  10. PA into Albany and srn/ctrl VT and NH into PWM get some deform action. Bit more of a CCB into SNE. So by default it's fairly uniform.
  11. 12z NAM will be a little flatter which is no surpise given it was deforming Pittsburg NH.
  12. Warmer temps aloft about 900mb will cause a mix until after lunch. Gradually changes to snow from NW to SE.
  13. Just made it into a warning event last December. Before that was March '19. True Winter one was Jan '18.
  14. Meh could be noise, could be ridding of the extreme wrn outliers too. I mean an area near the Quabbin could have been 10.5" on the 00z run and get into the light purple shading and now is 9.7" on the 6z run and stay in the blue.
  15. Should be mostly dry snow except maybe SE cstl areas for a time. Even here it may get near 32 and a little wet before dropping later in the storm. 128 on N and W probably teens for a time.
  16. Thanks 4 seasons. Quite a few members west of the mean at hr 84 there. Maybe why it looked a little slower to leave.
  17. Well it threw more QPF into NNE, but ever so slightly trimmed the line where >1' QPF falls. It could be noise, but it could be the goal posts narrowing a bit. Overall those are small, but good trends for now.
  18. 6z EPS still looks pretty good. Even maybe a hair stronger and a little slower to leave. Can see it in the MSLP fields vs 00z.
  19. I definitely don’t like a de-amplifying s/w as it approaches. Not usually the best for big snows, but on the other hand if we had that, it would be congrats Montreal and Ottawa.
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