Surface highs don't do jack shit. That fallacy needs to stop. Surface HP is guided by the mid levels. It's the mid levels that allow storms to move up and out to sea. Not some high pressure at the surface.
His fear of subby is due to like arctic airmasses keeping the best forcing to his south. It's way too early too get cute with banding right now. My opinion is that overall I think he is in a decent spot. I'm thinking of the recent trends showing a better mid level look. It's way to early to talk about subby zones. We have no idea...hell the 12z HRRR tries to sleet here near 12z Thursday lol.
I never said otherwise, or maybe I misunderstood. I don't mean a pure CJ..just a little contribution. Either way, that is low level stuff and nothing to do with any subby issues. You look good in the mid levels.
Also impressiver are the temps from like 800 on down. There is actually low level CAPE. Might be a decent OE signal too in typical spots. The cstl front is hellacious. Could be near 32 at BOS and 18 in BED for a time. Will collapse SE near dawn Thursday.
I buy the two part jack area. First may be W- NW CT into nrn MA and SNH..somewhere there. Another may be near stronger low level forcing in ern MA, interior SE MA. Just a guess...can detail it later.