Jump to content

CoastalWx

Meteorologist
  • Posts

    168,513
  • Joined

  • Last visited

Everything posted by CoastalWx

  1. That’s a crusher from PHilly to NYC verbatim. It did make steps to improve I thought, but yeah...s/w shredder as it moves overhead on the gfs. Hopefully it’s wrong.
  2. I saw that too. One nice thing we have, are cold temps in the conveyor belt. It may not pound after the heavy heavies leave, but decent temps still for snow flake production despite losing deep lift in the DGZ.
  3. It just screws around with the models. Sometimes they cause small pockets of lift and subsidence as they move along.
  4. Also there is a rapid pulse of strong 925mb winds. That's unusual.
  5. NAM also has what look to be weird G-wave features too? Check out the MSLP and then the 850 temps near the big lift at 700 mb. A warm pocket near the 700 lift.
  6. Might be a wet snow in SE cstl areas. May need to watch out for that. Looks like a lot of it falls in the 29-32 temp range here.
  7. Looked good for Ray too. He can come off the double decker bridge on 405 in Lawrence.
  8. Nah this is about perfect for BOS. Any sharper and you'll slot.
  9. Sounds like he may be into some other white stuff?
  10. EPS juicer than the op. So it looks like members aren’t all in with the blob.
  11. But to what Will was saying, look at the curl on the 18z run vs flatter 12z. This is why at first I thought it might be better. Then I saw qpf and mslp and figured the difference was the convection.
  12. What a nightmare this is up and down the major terminals of the northeast. Tough ass forecast.
  13. If EPS remains similar to 12z, then we'll know the op was voodoo.-
  14. Preliminary thinking 8-12 here for BOS. I don't really have CT totals, but probably similar.
  15. Yeah I see that too, But I do think that is something to think about as this occludes and drives some convection at least to the east. It's not going to change what I have out, but I'm watching it.
  16. I guess that's what bothers me. Is that real? If it is, that will leave it as a banded mess. If not, it will be a much stronger conveyor belt of moisture.
  17. Looks more tucked in and then shunted east. Almost gfs like with a weenie low chasing convection.
  18. Yeah I could see a mix there during the height, especially if it moves north.
  19. I think Harvey’s map this far out looks good. Might be a tight gradient, but given all the uncertainty that’s fine to me.
×
×
  • Create New...