CoastalWx

Oh I remember it well. In fact I remember your post and was like, “holy phucking shit.” Couldn’t believe how bad it was. And then you sort of went off the reservation and talked to Mt Mansfield about how it’s trying to do its job with orographics.... and it’s just not working.

That is brutal there.

Yeah maybe seasonal stats are good in spots, but that is all time bad right there.

The EPS still seems biased high over the Davis Straits due to warm temps and not necessarily from massive anticyclonic ridging. Something to watch.

What’s denying in that statement? I think we all agree pacific needs help.

Rivaling 09-10? Maybe we can get Key West some snow.

Let’s improve the Pacific before people disrobe.

I’m just saying what the euro shows. I think it’s reasonable and the 12z guidance all looked not too dissimilar.

That had a better airmass. Hell 10/30 did too.

With a garbage airmass too.

It definitely was quick. Meanwhile claws on the deck for us on Saturday.

And there it goes

Euro still pretty meh in the icing in SNE. Maybe some glaze near Dave? It’s warm.

Canadian also seems pretty good with where the ice and snow I envision would be. Hopefully some decent snows up north.

Maybe Ray for once will benefit with latitude. Might be some snow to start.

Honestly that’s getting annoying. If I had a bias, I wouldn’t have a job.

Sure more ice in BDR than ORH. The clownest of clown maps. Tossed.

Two different things. Verbatim any model showing that would be rain. But, if you think it’s colder than actuality, sure whatever you think. Don’t forget gfs loves to be too cold in SWFE. Respect the warm tongue.

That’s rain. Way too thick of an above freezing column.

Yeah further NE would be more snow for sure.

I feel like it will in this setup for sure. Although you always seem to do well in your CAD den lol.

Thank you. It’s annoying it has come to that.

I think the 12z gfs sort of fits what I was thinking. Looks fairly icy western MA (maybe NW CT) into hubby land and NH. Areas south of there get a a little ice and sleet, but doesn’t seem to last long. Maybe central NH on north can get some plowable snow?

It's also not a competition wolfie.

Oh it’s meh here, but I wasn’t being specific for here. I think the area for anything interesting is definitely ORH county on north. I guess define that? Maybe the chance of more than .25” ice and some snow? I don’t always look for the weenie solutions. I recognize it could be colder and snowier. My job isn’t to sit back and call for every possibility and focus on the wintry solutions because it appeases the AmWx audience. I’m looking at what seems to be most realistic at this time. Of course it could trend cooler, but I don’t think my thoughts have changed much since yesterday. Definitely looks more interesting where you are.