CoastalWx

EPS continues looking crappy.

EPS and Para GFS are a furnace.

That’s gonna produce in NNE. Maybe interior SNE ice too.

It went right into Quebec. Quebec likely had way more snow and water content in it, vs December. Nothing really tops those series of cutters. The whole northeast had major river flooding.

LOL 1996 wiped away a ton and was much more intense.

Yeah you're honest with that for sure.

I actually enjoy that forecast. Just put your balls out there and make the call. See what happens.

Yeah I enjoyed Christmas Eve as well. Similar vibe. At least that aspect of Christmas was enjoyable.

A lot of people like myself enjoy winter. I find it rather depressing to have temps in the 40s and 50s with rain or hell even bare ground. There's nothing quite like a snowy landscape. And obviously for people like you and I, this is typically expected. What compounds it, is when people see nothing but a crappy pattern for winter enthusiasts, as far as we can go out with any sense of accuracy.

A lot of interior CT into MA is what I meant. Roughly 495 down to 84. Probably not as far east as you. It's good to put things in perspective too.

I guess in the end it didn't matter as the srn stream hung back and sent the storm north, but maybe an icing set up for the north country?

18z GFS really trying to shear apart that energy for NYE.

Your missing my point. All these people talking massive -NAO are being head faked by warm temps making these heights look like a big block. It's not much of a ridge at all.

Well I haven't seen anyone with credibility, cancelling January.

To be fair, it looked better a week ago.

Yes, and I always admit that. But my job is to also not hide from something unfavorable and just spread optimism that is borderline inaccurate. I love snow as much as anyone, but the next two weeks look tough. I don't know what else to say.

Here is the other problem. Note the massive anomalies near Davis Straits. You'd think big block right? But look at the curvature of the height lines. Some subtle anticyclonic turning, but for those anomalies...you would expect more of a stout, deep ridge there....even in a smoothed out mean. I think the puke Pacific look is just pumping warm air into the normally cold parts of that area in Canada. The result are heights that are probably biased high due to warm temp anomalies vs actually a giant ridge. The temp anomalies are near +20F. I don't doubt there are members with a ridge in the Davis Straits, but perhaps don't be fooled by those massive anomalies, as that may be more of a result of Pacific puke air.

I'm not arguing later in the month...Perhaps that happens. But the first week...maybe even first half looks pretty nasty IMO. Maybe the NNE interior can make a run if that block does move more to the west. It doesn't mean we can't see snow, but when I look at the nrn hemi....I sure don't get the snowy vibes for SNE.

Well some tell it how it is. Some continue with the voodoo.

Ginxy, for Christ sake....Jan '11? Yes, I'll toss that like a Cam Newton pick-6. But, that doesn't mean January is tossed. Tossing Jan means it's skunked. I'm not there yet. I'm tossing one of the most epic January's to happen.

Where?

It's all about where the anomalies are located. I hate those effing charts, because they don't tell the story. I never ever look at those. I need to see the H5 anomalies. Also, way too early to cancel. People are losing their shit because of the Grinch storm. Some of the interior already has 2 small snow events this month with a 10-15" storm in between. Well over their December snow climo.

? We've said for days it's been getting worse on the guidance. The cutter occurred with 2 weeks notice. The Pacific has always sucked, and the Atlantic for the time being, has ridging where it is not favorable. Why would anyone give false hope and lie about what is coming? The next couple of weeks look rather unfavorable for anything due to all those circumstances.

Yeah the faster flow in Canada is definitely something to cheer for.

Ukie drinking right through 12z.