I'd take a 12 hr thump. Of course I would rather no ptype issues, but I am honestly exhausted by this winter and long past the hope of wanting historic. At this point, advisory deals are nice.
It's already a mature s/w over the Midwest. It starts to dig SE and elongate as a shot of nrn stream energy digs in. SO you get a more elongated and large ULL vs a Jan 2011 nuke.