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CoastalWx

Meteorologist
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Everything posted by CoastalWx

  1. We may be going for a second year. Let’s get 4 in a row for Ray.
  2. But you’re comparing op runs out to hr 384. I mean that’s like comparing 2 ensemble members. The para at 00z did crap itself for the 27.
  3. Well that was just not a good setup, I don’t attribute it to bad luck per se.
  4. Lots of sledding and winter stuff last two days. Today was perfect, actually got color on my face from Tip’s sun angle and reflection off the snow. Probably starts to become a dream by tomorrow and rest of the week here.
  5. It all depends. A humid srly flow may mean low clouds and fog, but you get those nice westerly and northwest flow days and it’s perfect. So it’s sort of a gamble. July and August are best.
  6. Yeah this year we had some bad luck too. Seemed like confluence was just enough to shear out systems coming from the Plains and southern US. The true arctic cold was really only the last two weeks and driven through the west and plains. But you can look at it alternatively. The confluence also helped reduce the cutter potential. There’s a good chance that without the confluence, storms would have been a lot milder for New England.
  7. It’s also placement and magnitude too. But if you look at general NAO states, the big boys have had a -NAO. It is true though that overall the correlation weakens in NNE in terms of what base state of the NAO matters for seasonal snowfall.
  8. Thanks for this, I think it makes sense too because anecdotally, they seem more in line with other reports. I'm glad they have a good ownership.
  9. Lmao. Not true at all. You probably would not have the snow you already have.
  10. Yeah, was just thinking of personal experiences with that. But man I was like holy shit when I saw that.
  11. The other winter where there was briefly a massive disparity was in January 2003. We went out one night to Somerville and then in Woburn right off 93 on the Montvale Ave exit. That has to be like 6 miles as the crow flies? I swear there was a 12” difference in snowpack. I was astonished.
  12. My Dad worked at the old Marshall’s headquarters there in Woburn. I remember him telling me about much more snow there vs Brockton. Pretty sure it was that winter.
  13. Maybe Will knows, but I feel like this winter was similar to 87-88 in terms of being a bit more of a disparity between coast and being just inland. At least through now.
  14. Sticking out there in the water will hurt, but I’m sure the way cashed in recent years too. I love to at town. You’ll enjoy the benefit in the summer while Phin is sweating his ass of in nrn NH again.
  15. Man that’s crazy and best of luck to you and Brian’s family too.
  16. Lyme Disease is so prevalent and really debilitating at times, but I feel like it’s always swept under the rug. Not good. Best of luck to you.
  17. It was nice to have a February that actually was wintry. While it got dicey here after 2/1, we’ve pretty much had snow OTG since late January.
  18. Lots of money involved and more often than not, you go AN you’ll win. Short term aspects are harder to predict but DJF again will average AN. Snowfall and things like AO and NAO are harder to predict, but there are regimes that favor the positive and negative versions of those. I do agree the long term forecasts for snow were certainly much lower than reality.
  19. Wasn’t December and January above normal temp wise?
  20. I don’t think there is a doubt about how snowy it is and it seems like recently amounts look more reasonable. But you go back to years ago (maybe new owner ship recently or just better observing?) and they were ridiculous. Refused to report or just magically skipped over any conditions with warmth and rain. And from the numerous times I know people who have gone there (some of them mets too) they mentioned the reporting being a little “generous.” There is a reason why they had that reputation.
  21. There still can be March storms, but after March 4th or so, looks mild for a time.
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