This storm has a huge circulation. Some of you I think are biased a bit on something SE of the BM...but for those that want it tucky tucky...you'd be sucky sucky on exhaust.
Euro has better confluence north of NE so this will be SE of 00z, but H5 really injects some energy from north of the GL so we'll see if this develops and slows.
We'll see what the euro says, but day 5 Ukie is as good as the NAVGEM. I don't care what the H5 RMS errors say. That models shits itself at that timeframe more often than not.