CoastalWx
-
Posts
170,185 -
Joined
-
Last visited
Content Type
Profiles
Blogs
Forums
American Weather
Media Demo
Store
Gallery
Everything posted by CoastalWx
-
HRRR has that awesome CCB look for Dave.
-
Maybe even west of there. It does that back bent thing. Although, west of him as lower elevation. But yeah after seeing the euro, that would get him really good.
-
That’s a nice hit probably from the airport on N and W. KORH that is.
-
Goes into RI
-
Normally it wouldn't matter in winter with a colder profile, but you really need the saturation and lift I think for anything good tomorrow. I didn't see much of that outside of Berkshire county into VT and NH. At least on the GFS.
-
The GFS is awfully dry above 700mb. Verbatim, those snow amounts on the clown maps are going to be way overdone. It slots SNE quickly above 700mb.
-
Good for NW part of state. Slots more east of BDL.
-
Haha yep. Speaking of, 12z gfs clobbers the Berks into monads.
-
Probably a 6 hr window where it goes nuts before the slot.
-
Without seeing the gfs, I noticed guidance CAA a tad at 925 into interior NE MA and slings that into CT and RI. What you need to see is the combo of being in that slightly cooler air along with significant lift. Having that CAA will help a bit in interior eastern areas that are a little lower. It’s obviously nice to see in the higher spots too. The other guidance like Reggie has that only further NW.
-
That’s about as good as your COVID takes.
-
Certainly is. High stakes on which one is right. The other hi res guidance kept the low more near cape cod bay.
-
Kidding
-
Hopefully CCB into eastern CT and N and NW. Hole over Tolland county and back bent WF gets Weha and Wiz as well as are friends west of the river.
-
AEMATT
-
Yeah some models Show a band along the occluded back bent mid level front.
-
For the lower spots below like 600’ or so, I think you need this to absolutely nuke. Once intensity let’s up it’s probably sloppy snow at 36F. You’ll need the dynamics to go nuts for any accumulation more than an inch or two. Even higher elevations may warm to like 34 and have melting when intensity let’s up. But if it’s S+ it will be right at 32 and accumulating above 990’
-
So far the convective models are nailing Worcester and interior NE MA along 495 and west of 93. Even down to western Norfolk county. WRF NSSL drags in warmer air into Essex county. But the other two models look good even for Ray.
-
Yes. Put away the 10:1 clowns.
-
It’s about 3-6 there.
-
3k Nam has low into RI. Back to a Berks mauling.
-
Some areas may actually flip to snow and then rain as dynamics weaken a bit after 18z. Still impressive.
-
Unstable above it too. Might even have thunder. 495 crusher.
-
Doubt it.
-
HRRR keeps going east.
