CoastalWx
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Everything posted by CoastalWx
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So you locking in upper 20s and ZR the whole time?
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Let’s go gfs
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They just did break freezing.
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I guess we hope for Thursday after Tuesday's mess.
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He’s probably in a good spot for now.
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Yeah I’ll side on a track SE of Reggie too.
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Ukie is about as good as the Navgem.
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Reggie pretty warm. Brings low right over my head.
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That’s been an issue for verification for us. We usually do reviews for larger winter events and I had to remind the group about not just going back and counting the 6hr I group.
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Hate to say that.
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Easy E
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All these networks are going to show model outputs that are either too aggressive, or show weird holes and bullseyes because they can’t resolve certain mesoscale aspects. I honestly wouldn’t pay much attention to those graphics.
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6 years ago kicked off part 1 of the icing on the cake of epicosity. Make winters great again.
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That makes more sense though compared to previous NAM runs. At least to me. I don't know why it wasn't showing the drain. I didn't think interior was warming, but this may change the game near 128 and maybe even BOS.
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Also means heights ahead of developing low higher/warmer.
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Might be just minor differences with that PV, but almost looks like the RAP. Really presses down and feeds into this. No way inland sniffs 32 in that. This run makes more sense when you think about it.
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NAM really pressing the cold air into NNE on this run.
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NAM looks a little stronger with the primary vs 6z.
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Look at the RAP vs the 6z NAM. It's probably related to the NAM track, but the RAP has better ageo drain into SNE vs the NAM which just warms everyone up. You can see it at 925 too. I was expecting more of a RAP look, but when the NAM (which usually is good in these) started to get really warm...it looked a little off to me. But the NAM is also amped up. I agree though. I don't see areas like ORH and interior NE MA sniffing 32.
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I know you all hate when mets aren't cold and snowy, but March looks AN. I don't know why that seems outlandish. I'm not talking about this month.
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#Scooterknows
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Fwiw the RAP is pretty cold and icy into CT. That temp profile makes more sense to me vs other models just spontaneously warming temps up outside of the latent heat ZR zone.
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Regarding the PAC NW, I’m pretty sure the NAM actually did decent on that. It did show a warm tongue.
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I’ve noticed the same with the high warm tongues. At least on most models when it shows it at 0C, I usually hedge sleet.
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Someone needs to put his face on that album cover with the dude covering her chest with his hands. Please somebody do that.
