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RitualOfTheTrout

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Everything posted by RitualOfTheTrout

  1. RitualOfTheTrout
    Climo does suck for big storms, to far away from the lakes outside of rare squall lines or persistent bands, to far from the ocean where storms want to develop due to natural baraclonic zone with cold land / warm ocean, on the wrong side of the apps so we don't benefit from CAD, I could probably go on lol
  2. RitualOfTheTrout
    It's usually SE we miss these things, at least in recent memory.
  3. RitualOfTheTrout
    This isn't a true miller a apps runner though, the double barrell low look is why we've got the dryslot vs a more developed storm tracking up inland from the South. It is what it is, nothing wrong with pointing out things are going the wrong way. No doubt if at the end of this we are at like 5in it's a pretty big bust. We've been on the Eastern edge of the bigger totals and it looks like things might break the wrong way. Our loss is someone else's (Cleveland) gain, that's the name of the game.
  4. RitualOfTheTrout
    Yeah, that's rough. I guess close enough to hope gets a little further SE.
  5. RitualOfTheTrout
    18z GFS had 2 more storms through the run so who knows lol
  6. RitualOfTheTrout
    I'm closing in in 3, but rates have slowed quite a bit now.
  7. RitualOfTheTrout
    I herby name this the KPITSnow storm, it's more bipolar than his posts. @KPITSnow I'm just giving you a hard time.
  8. RitualOfTheTrout
    Same, flipped back to all snow and puking snow.
  9. RitualOfTheTrout
    Same, just came in from a walk with the dog pulling kid on the sled. It was heavy snow, measured 1.5 but by the time we got back it was 80% sleet. Seems like from the obs it's going back and forth all over so hopefully we flip back
  10. RitualOfTheTrout
    There must be some warmth associated with this until push that gets mixed out / mitigated with some wetbulbing.
  11. RitualOfTheTrout
    Big flakes here too, but coming down pretty heavy at the moment. I do think there is some truth to what you say, flakes start sticking together when they fall through a warm layer. I remember my Dad telling when I was a kid his recollection of the big snows having smaller flakes. All anecdotal of course
  12. RitualOfTheTrout
    I can't say for certain but would bet it's based on one of the short range models. That's about when the NAM showed it.
  13. RitualOfTheTrout
    I do the same, the new radar is so laggy.
  14. RitualOfTheTrout
    I expect better from you.
  15. RitualOfTheTrout
    Plus it's going to be 42 and rain Wednesday and all melt away, just call the whole thing off now. Bite the cyanide pill now and save yourselves! Sorry, couldn't resist, I'm only kidding but hey if the wheels do come off at least we don't reset our 12in+ every 15 year statistic. (I know it doesn't work that way)
  16. RitualOfTheTrout
    Flurries here, and pretty breezy. Cable and internet just went out.
  17. RitualOfTheTrout
    It has some similarities for sure, but nowhere near the strength. I still like jwilisons analogy as a clipper going as March 93 for Halloween.
  18. RitualOfTheTrout
    That’s my take, GFS / GEM both looked to have ticked a little bit east granted their usefulness is less this close in but if we see an agreement that we get a slightly east track / faster transfer we might be in business. It’s almost time to start watching the radar.
  19. RitualOfTheTrout
    Maybe the Chiefs all wake up with COVID today? So it's not a Zero chance.
  20. RitualOfTheTrout
    Just for fun I clicked through to end of Euro, and it has a very similar setup next weekend, shortwave diving down with another coming in behind that could phase partially...
  21. RitualOfTheTrout
    Yeah, some of the heaviest snow looks to fall before 1am, then go to bed and don't fret the slot and wake up a few hours later and watch radar fill in, that might be my plan lol. Being east of the city my yard probably needs more of an adjustment.
  22. RitualOfTheTrout
    Well hopefully your bad mojo ends up in a last minute change to a hotel further SE! Erie looks to be in the sweet spot right now and should do well with some lake enhancement on the back end. Can't say I've ever chased a snow storm, it's either my yard or bust but certainly respect your dedication to seeing big snow and hey it's a good excuse to travel.
  23. RitualOfTheTrout
    Lol, like all 4 of us just had the same thought at the same time.
  24. RitualOfTheTrout
    I really hope we can get that to slide SE, crazy stuff can happen in those deform bands if your really looking for 12+
  25. RitualOfTheTrout
    If it was the other way around and NAM was the only thing that looked good we'd toss it. I'm not going to worry until other models show the same, or radar looks like the NAM.
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