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RitualOfTheTrout

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Everything posted by RitualOfTheTrout

  1. That looks pretty close to NWS forecast. We knew the higher totals where likely to be NW. Last night I thought this might bust, but it didn't, it was maybe on the lower end of the ranges but you don't just look at the biggest number and run with it. You can lament the what ifs / what could have been or just enjoy what we got. I experienced 2 different heavy bands of snow, met the range of snow forecast, it's cold and snowing still after the storm. I'd call that a win
  2. If we are talking somewhere relatively close I'd go to Deep Creek, they do well in upslop and are generally in a good spot for various storm tracks.
  3. Its semantics but it 6 in 12hr or 8 in 24 over 50% of the warned area, based on totals I see coming in that verified. Maybe lower end for immediate Pittsburgh area. https://www.weather.gov/pbz/winterterms
  4. I see what you did there. It's a lock 2-4 more Wednesday night. So the NAM has forecast it, so it shall come to pass.
  5. I just measured 7.5, few lower / few higher so I'm going with that. Its heavy compacted so had I measured with a snow board I wouldn't be shocked if it would have been an inch or more than that. I can't say for sure about the reported totals but when I woke up around 4:00-4:30 it was a very heavy snow, easily 1+ per hour.
  6. Yeah NAM and HRRR show around 1am precip builds back in. I'm at 3, can we snag 5 more? 8 was my bar so within reach.
  7. Lol, this Steelers game is like this storm, at first it looked like maybe just maybe we might have a shot of at least looking competitive then the wheels just fell off.
  8. You missed Feb 2010? That was one it looked like we would miss again to the South, then the detour sign went up and the blocking confluence let up just enough and we got crushed. One that started getting better and better as we got closer.
  9. I mean I don't know the numbers, but central Ohio might be a worse climo zone than us lol. I'm not one to root for somewhere else to not get snow unless it's what needs to happen for my yard to jackpot. If I can get a big snow then the more the merrier.
  10. Climo does suck for big storms, to far away from the lakes outside of rare squall lines or persistent bands, to far from the ocean where storms want to develop due to natural baraclonic zone with cold land / warm ocean, on the wrong side of the apps so we don't benefit from CAD, I could probably go on lol
  11. It's usually SE we miss these things, at least in recent memory.
  12. This isn't a true miller a apps runner though, the double barrell low look is why we've got the dryslot vs a more developed storm tracking up inland from the South. It is what it is, nothing wrong with pointing out things are going the wrong way. No doubt if at the end of this we are at like 5in it's a pretty big bust. We've been on the Eastern edge of the bigger totals and it looks like things might break the wrong way. Our loss is someone else's (Cleveland) gain, that's the name of the game.
  13. Yeah, that's rough. I guess close enough to hope gets a little further SE.
  14. I herby name this the KPITSnow storm, it's more bipolar than his posts. @KPITSnow I'm just giving you a hard time.
  15. Same, just came in from a walk with the dog pulling kid on the sled. It was heavy snow, measured 1.5 but by the time we got back it was 80% sleet. Seems like from the obs it's going back and forth all over so hopefully we flip back
  16. There must be some warmth associated with this until push that gets mixed out / mitigated with some wetbulbing.
  17. Big flakes here too, but coming down pretty heavy at the moment. I do think there is some truth to what you say, flakes start sticking together when they fall through a warm layer. I remember my Dad telling when I was a kid his recollection of the big snows having smaller flakes. All anecdotal of course
  18. I can't say for certain but would bet it's based on one of the short range models. That's about when the NAM showed it.
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