Totally objectively speaking it's a pretty tough call for this area. I haven't really looked at the fringe models but Euro/NAM is going to be mostly poorly accumulating light snow that's in and out while the GFS is borderline low-end warning. I'm not sure if the FV3 GFS carries any weight yet but it's much more in the Euro/NAM camp than it's operational big brother. I'd go 1-3'' and minimal impact right now but damn if the GFS wouldn't make me nervous.