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DomNH

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Everything posted by DomNH

  1. DomNH
    Just snizzle here under the heavier echoes. DGZ is fried.
  2. DomNH
    Guess my eyes are wrong! Either way about what I expected.
  3. DomNH
    Eyeballing about an inch or so. Guessing it either never really fully flipped or we couldn’t sustain good lift. Drizzle now.
  4. DomNH
    3:30 am get up to get a glass of water ob: SN maybe 1/2’’ to 1’’. Meh
  5. DomNH
    Still RAPL last ob before bed. Maybe wake up to a surprise but 2-4 crusty inches still seems about right. Maybe some mangled flakes in there too.
  6. DomNH
    We’ve already wasted 0.6’’…it’s going to really have to bang from midnight to 6 am.
  7. DomNH
    -RA here in these lulls. No snow yet.
  8. DomNH
    Man the radar really does look like garbage. New HRRR develops a heavy band near the border later on for a few hours then dries right back out again.
  9. DomNH
    Scalped. Road is slick.
  10. DomNH
    Meanwhile the NAM won't budge on all sleet then follows the HRRR in drying things out aloft by daybreak.
  11. DomNH
    Hearing the first of many pings.
  12. DomNH
    My gut still says crud but there's definitely an avenue to warning snow if everything breaks right and it pounds 1-2'' an hour from midnight to 6 am. Hate the H7 low in NY State though - to me that screams showery banded radar and that ain't going to cut it.
  13. DomNH
    Really have no idea if I'll wake up to 6-7'' of pure concrete and no power tomorrow or 3'' of crud. At least it looks like things improve pretty quickly in the morning. Cautiously optimistic my 3 pm out of MHT will survive.
  14. DomNH
    HRRR is also the quickest to fizzle things out tomorrow morning in SNE. Really pounds for a few hours though north of Route 2.
  15. DomNH
    17z HRRR might be the coldest run yet.
  16. DomNH
    NAM is straight sleet south of MHT.
  17. DomNH
    Kuchera isn’t reliable on the best of days.
  18. DomNH
    Yep. Doesn't look like the miracle is going to happen.
  19. DomNH
    Looking at the soundings it's either mostly sleet or shitty rimed flakes at best. H7 remains right about at 0c throughout the overnight and then the DGZ dries out once it tries to flip.
  20. DomNH
    Looks like shit with the precip shield too.
  21. DomNH
    HRRR is really ugly with the dryslot after about 10z. Continuing the trend from 18z there.
  22. DomNH
    Yeah the 18z Euro sucked in the marginal areas. Midlevel warmth didn't budge and precip rates during the important 06z - 12z timeframe were not impressive.
  23. DomNH
    Yeah seemed a little aggressive but what do I know. It's such a fragile setup at a time of year where fragile is tough. GFS is a good example of how it could happen but everything is going to have to break just right. 18z HRRR is a good example of the opposite. ML warmth + inconsistent rates + April solar insolation = 1-2'' of meh. Going to need to absolutely fooking pound consistently overnight to achieve warning snows. Truth is probably somewhere in the middle. Gun to weenie I'd go 2-4'' here.
  24. DomNH
    NAM like the Euro is a scalping here til 06z then a crusty inch or two before it dries out quickly and slots after 12z. Fugly
  25. DomNH
    Surprised GYX went straight to warnings here.
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