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DomNH

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Everything posted by DomNH

  1. DomNH
    100% this. I’m pale as hell. I need bronze season.
  2. DomNH
    I’d sell 12-16 hard. Jack zone is going to be 6-10’’ IMO.
  3. DomNH
    I think we're kind of splitting hairs at this point. It's going to be a modest event outside of southeastern SNE.
  4. DomNH
    LOL...I've never been but I've driven past it on 84 countless times.
  5. DomNH
    I'm not seeing much of a different between the 00z and 12z Euro up this way. It may be slightly better. I don't think anything post 18z will amount to much.
  6. DomNH
    At the Electric Blue. Definitely toss sun angle where there are legit rates. Otherwise not so much.
  7. DomNH
    Given it's during the day I think salt will make pretty quick work of this outside of the areas in SEMA that get it heavier. Should be done by 4 as well. I have to drive to Littleton, MA tomorrow at noon and I'm not too worried about it.
  8. DomNH
    I don't think he's necessarily wrong. Unless you have a GFS solution with closed off ML lows which I kind of doubt the strongest 850-700mb fgen is going to be over SEMA and it won't even be that strong. I'm not seeing a big ML magic signal for central/nrn CT. Not kiss it goodbye but I wouldn't go watch/warning for KTOL and surrounding areas.
  9. DomNH
    Guessing pretty standard stuff. Neither paste nor fluff. Should be pretty easy to nuke with salt.
  10. DomNH
    BOX hoisted for 2-4'' ORH northeast. I think that's reasonable. I still like 1-3'' here.
  11. DomNH
    Probably going to see a QPF distribution pretty similar to the 00z Euro at the end of the day I think. Maybe more in srn CT.
  12. DomNH
    GFS also seems to kick it out a little quicker too. Not as much lingering snow post like 19z.
  13. DomNH
    Yeah GFS def toned it down. No more warning snows to CON.
  14. DomNH
    There's lift in the DGZ but it's pretty damn weak unless you take the GFS verbatim. I wouldn't be super enthusiastic about forecasting >10:1 and I wouldn't be surprised if it struggles to accumulate in the March daytime given rates probably won't be too impressive.
  15. DomNH
    I wouldn't even go advisory for nrn MA and S NH outside of 495. I have little confidence that we hit 4''.
  16. DomNH
    I love your enthusiasm but come on now.
  17. DomNH
    Keg of Labatt kicked this morning I guess. I'd expect the GFS to cave but it has been really steadfast.
  18. DomNH
    That's every model.
  19. DomNH
    I wouldn't blend it into the forecast but I find it interesting that pretty much all the mesos are handling it similarly. Except maybe the RGEM but it must be 5 o'clock somewhere in Canada and the Labatt is flowing.
  20. DomNH
    The HRRR is really not feeling it. That model mostly sucks but highlights the disconnect between the mesos and globals. I'm going to guess the GFS doesn't go thermonuclear at 12z and cans the warning snows to CON but who knows.
  21. DomNH
    Let's la la la lock that in. A quick hitting mod/heavy snow for the folks down south who need it and pretty much nothing up here in SNH.
  22. DomNH
    It still looks like it ticked a little SE even before it chased the convection.
  23. DomNH
    NAM is not biting at all.
  24. DomNH
    It's really all the mesoscales that have this thing trucking along at a faster clip than the globals. The NAM is still a nice thump down in southern SNE but it's done by 18z. Christ the HRRRx is probably broken sun by 3 or 4 o'clock. It has this thing on rails.
  25. DomNH
    Totally objectively speaking it's a pretty tough call for this area. I haven't really looked at the fringe models but Euro/NAM is going to be mostly poorly accumulating light snow that's in and out while the GFS is borderline low-end warning. I'm not sure if the FV3 GFS carries any weight yet but it's much more in the Euro/NAM camp than it's operational big brother. I'd go 1-3'' and minimal impact right now but damn if the GFS wouldn't make me nervous.
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