Syrmax

I'm back. 0.87" rain for the forecasted 1-3". Bit of an underperform here from what I can tell via NWS and public met forecasts. Bit of a theme IMBY this summer. Hopefully that changes in next few months...

Happy Easter to all. And fingers crossed for Wolfie! At least we may have someone to directly blame for stealing our snow! Had a brief snowshower here this morning, so it's officially April Fools. And yeah it was windy AF last night with the frontal passage.

Yeah, I'm sure that'll materialize. 0.72" in the rain gauge this a.m. yawn.

If you all do end up near the Tug, you should enlist in data reporting...CoCoRaHs...I’m sure it would be of interest as I’m not sure how much full or regular reporting they get out of that area...snow depth, liquid equivalents etc. Not sure if Yerden does all that or just measures snowfall.

Yeah we are not going to the jump right into summer and bypass spring it appears. At least not thru early/mid April. We'll probably scratch out a few inches of snow in there somewhere...I'm hoping it happens before end of March at KSYR to at least claim 2nd snowiest March...there are sime chances but nothing major as of now.

Well, if u realy really like snow and living off the beaten path Redfield is the place. I think even in the all time crappy winter we had a few years ago, KSYR had barely 45-50" IIRC, The Tug was still at 100"+...

Agree, other than below normal temps that will keep skiing and maybe snowshoe trails viable a while longer...looks like the fun part of winter is over. I expect we'll get some sort of April snowfall to prolong the agony of waiting for spring and mild weather. My final grade on this winter looks like B+ also. Can't quite go A- as SNE has had a good March.

Looks great wolfie! One thing about up there, and even here...pretty decent snowpack on average. Still have around 12" average on ground here. Another cold one, I have 6 degrees. While it roasts in the 40s and 50s down S&E.. where it's going to snow tomorrow. Such a waste.

This one is a write off for most of us. ALB May get brushed with a light accumulation, 1-3”. Not sure what WPC is thinking with the probability map below. I guess it is low probability but I haven’t seen any modeling pushing 4” of snow up to SYR area. Even the SREFs don’t show that. Haven’t seen latest but pretty sure Eurotrash is in line with most other NWP showing this as a Poconos/Catskills and on S&E snowfall.

I'm just hoping we can scrape together 1.7" of snow the rest of the month at KSYR to get into 2nd place for highest March snowfalls. Looks like it's gonna be like pulling teeth despite ample cold air. Next 2 systems look to be crushed south and/or 99 lb weaklings.

Well, looks like another I-95 special on tap this week. Shocked I say, shocked that this could be going on.

Thinking this tues/wed is a non starter for everyone on this board, even ENY looks too far NW. Next fri/Sat looks like something to keep an eye on for a while.

Went snowshoeing again this morning, this time open field snowshoeing in my yard and neighboring fields...trying to track down a wounded deer my lunatic husky had cornered in my yard. To no avail. That snow is deep and has a crust on it now. I cant recall snowshoeing here this late, on March 18 and 19. Thinking this winter gets an A- or B+. There have been some demerits for poor performance but overall solid for total snow and seasonal duration. We've gone the distance.

KSYR only 1.4" yesterday. Up to 43.6" for Morch...only need 2" I believe to jump to 2nd snowiesst Morch ever. We can get that by accident around here but getting first looks like a bigger stretch based on model trends right now. Need a solid 12" and next week looks like it vaporized on us. Not surprising as whenever the media start pimping a storm 8 days out, classic weenie trap.

12Z Euro looks like it's on the 12z GFS idea of more suppressed for next Wed storm. But ive only perused the h5 and slp panels. Will be interesting to see how this modelology plays out over the weekend runs.

KSYR probably reaches 2nd place today and tonight...if not there already. If we do, only need a miserly 10" to get to #1. If we all pull together we can do this!

Who is Dave?

Not sure about elsewhere but its Poundtown here in downtown Cuse. Interesting flurries and 0.1" forecast...

1.1" this morning...snowing sporadically heavy.

Right. I was surprised by KBGM's AFD this afternoon. Still rather bullish on impacts to upstate. They are right to mention models flopping about especially this far in advance. We shall see. Of note KBGM's Clump report for today has KSYR at 42.2" snowfall thusfar for March and 149.7" total seasonal. Impressive. We need a couple more bombs to approach the record of 192" though. And its getting late. Still, have to figure this March will end up a top 5 or 10 for snowfall at this point.

Looks like the whole Thursday 12z model suite takes next weeks system well south of us, including Euro. Unless I'm missing something.

Could be. I'm usually careful with drawing too many broad conclusions from select data sets but i would think that's consistent with the GW idea. I think we know in general earth has warmed, by how much is a matter of some debate and the causes of such even more so. But that's a subject for another forum, which I usually avoid because everyone's an "expert" and have their minds made up and heels dug in, one way or another... I'd be curious to see a study of Lake Ontario water temps along with air temps and perhaps other relevant atmospheric conditions over that period. Because that chart looks like an increase in lake snows happened over that 30 yr period compared to the previous one.

Hard to believe NYC NNJ to SNE aren't more blue.

Still snowing pretty good but not as hard as a few hours ago. It'll be waning from here u too daylight.

Thanks. I've never seen nor heard of near 40:1 in this sort of synopticlly enhanced setup. Usually it occurs in pure LES with light winds and ideal dendrite production in an arctic airmass.