Syrmax

15 minutes ago, Syrmax said:

Storm Observation, Clay NY:  Still Cloudy and torchy. 

Update: we have rain sign! Free Car wash for the people.

Storm Observation, Clay NY:  Still Cloudy and torchy. 

1 minute ago, 96blizz said:

Oh cool. Didn’t know that. Thx man!

…also there was some cake topping for some areas with backend lake stuff. Fill GFS output for the weenies. In SYR matches closest to the GGEM!!  @TugHillMatt here we go!!

Divide that shit by 2.

3 minutes ago, brentrich said:

Who would want to wash car in February, what a waste of $$$$$ Wait until April/May. 

It rains so much in Syracuse that we just leave the cars outside for regular washings in winter. Like tomorrow!

1 hour ago, 96blizz said:

Me waiting for the 18z suite. 

Watching end of Narcos season 2 now. Fantastic. Finished Narcos-Mexico already, just as good or better.

Torching like a BO$$ here.

3 minutes ago, tim123 said:

Finally not a snow hole. Ha

It's the GEM Kuchie map...doesn't get much more weenie than that.

59 minutes ago, rochesterdave said:

You guys beat me but damn that Canook! Smokes some of us

Look at it.  LOOK AT IT!!

Just now, Stash said:

I could see i-88 between the two locations as a battleground between snow and ice. Blending euro and gfs gives me a lot of sleet. I can't actually remember the last time I had a big sleet storm. You'd have to think at some point the climate will even itself out, and somehow get it to snow in ENY again this season.

I spied a forecast down in SE Missouri area last night, or near there, that had them with 1-2" of sleet. That's a lot.

1 hour ago, tombo82685 said:

Noted, Will do. Maybe this isn’t the best community then for me. Sorry for causing such a stir 

You're fine!

25 minutes ago, vortmax said:

That QPF hole over us doesn't make sense with a NNE wind.

Downsloping off the Laurentian Upland in Quebec. That, or too many close up model screen grabs of Monroe County?

4 minutes ago, CNY_WX said:

Where is he, we miss his input. 

There were mumblings about life changes,  moving etc. Maybe heading back to the real snowbelts along i-95?

13 minutes ago, rochesterdave said:

You know Tom, we have a pretty great group here. Maybe you don’t realize it but you come across as a royal prick about 80% of the time. Throttle it back bro. 

Lighten up or we'll get Freak back in here.

1 hour ago, 96blizz said:

I am north of the lake by about half a mile in the village. Not on the hill but I can hit driver, wedge to it. My camp is 10 miles down the lake on the west side. 

If you're hitting your driver as long as your wedge...you're doing it wrong!

2 hours ago, TugHillMatt said:

Love it. Thanks for sharing! I don't drink either ..except for a very occasional glass of wine when visiting family. While I know I am negative on here, I promise I am not as miserable in "real life." I am definitely geared to see things in a critical way. My colleagues always come to me because I naturally see errors in things and it's helpful when I can help correct them. I am actually a huge "person of encouragement" and love encouraging others in their gifts and talents. I really do have lots of respect for you!

Is there a Sizzle Warning issued for CNY today?  Put 'em up!

14 minutes ago, rochesterdave said:

Into the mountains of NH and VT? 

NNE will see snow. Mass and south looks like PL after rain for the most part. Ends as a bit of snow.

Looks like 6-8" of rice snow for KSYZ. Take 'em down!

1 hour ago, wolfie09 said:

NEW YORK -- Brian Flores has sued the NFL and three teams -- the Dolphins, the Broncos and the Giants -- alleging discrimination regarding his interview processes with Denver and New York and his firing last month by Miami.

The 58-page lawsuit was filed in Manhattan federal court Tuesday and seeks class-action status.

In it, Flores claims Dolphins owner Stephen Ross attempted to incentivize him to "tank" or purposely lose games shortly after he was hired in 2019, with Ross allegedly offering Flores $100,000 for every game the team lost that season. Flores says that as the team won games late in the season, Dolphins general manager Chris Grier told him Ross was "mad" that Flores' on-field success was "compromising [the team's] draft position."

https://www.espn.com/nfl/story/_/id/33194862/brian-flores-sues-nfl-others-former-miami-dolphins-coach-alleges-racism-hiring-practices

Yikes!  Wouldn't surprise me if his allegations have validity but man he threw some people under the bus...

1 minute ago, BGM Blizzard said:

Yeah hard to tell what going on. Incoherent shifts between the models.

That's why I generally only pay attention to the 0/12z runs.  Too much noise otherwise. Yeah, a model output trend could be spotted or "confirmed" on 6/18Z runs, I get it, but for the most part it becomes TMI.

4 hours ago, sferic said:

Great info!

 

Would you know what is the lowest recorded minimum high for KYSR in Winter?

1/15. 6F high , -6F low

1/29 11F high, +1 low.

Those were the two coldest high temps for KSYZ in January.  Jan 29th, another day where the Sizzle's thermometer likely missed another subzero reading.  

January Climate Data for Sizzlecuse...

KSYZ and IMBY haven't had a >6" snowstorm yet this season.  Jan storm ended up near 6.5" (7.6" at KSYZ) but that included a bunch of backend lake enhanced snowfall.  Too many <3" events to mention.

We were about 80% of normal snowfall and 73% total qpf for Jan and -4.6F for month. So cold and dry. Could be worse, could be December...

Noticed lowest temp at KSYZ for Jan was -9F (twice) with 7 subzero lows and 2 days at exactly 0 for mins.  Figuring in the 1-2F temp bias at KSYZ, we were likely lower than those values for both absolute and total # of min subzero temps. 

Jan grade: C

Season grade to date: D+

Nov grade: C

Dec grade: D-

1 hour ago, 96blizz said:

I already did that years ago. That’s silly. 
 

Okay. 96Blizz it is. 

Could sign up for a new account? All the trolls do.

56 minutes ago, TugHillMatt said:

I think you should change it to DeathBand.

@Syrmaxagrees.

Workin' the nerves you are...

00Z Euro looks good for most of us, other than ENY but keeps us out of the game for any Sun-Mon storm (coastal snowbelts only). 00Z/06Z GooFuS trying hard to take our snow away for Thursday but keeps us in play for Sun-Mon.

Choose your poison...

23 minutes ago, rochesterdave said:

BTW, all of it falls by hour 84. Not sure why I pulled hour 102. It’s late…

0Z Euro is a pretty good compromise among the various model options from what I've seen. I think ratios will be problematic. Thinking 10:1 is about good for snow.  I wouldnt go higher.