Jump to content

Syrmax

Members
 View Profile  See their activity

  • Posts

    5,654

  • Joined

  • Last visited

 Content Type 

Posts posted by Syrmax

    Upstate/Eastern New York-Pattern Change Vs Tughill Curse?

    in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania

    Posted

    1 minute ago, CNY_WX said:

    I love reading the comments on the TheForumThatShallNotBeNamed. Right now there’s never been a better model than the CMC, the GFS should never be trusted and one met even mentioned the JMA since it has consistently shown a big storm for the sub-forum. 

    I saw the JMA references over the past few hours.  Clear sign that Hail Mary time is approaching.  Most of us have been there... It's almost as if you're in the Führerbunker ordering around phantom armies as short range artillery is pounding away on top of you. "Euro will kommen...!" (Der Untergang movie reference there).

    • Haha 1

    Upstate/Eastern New York-Pattern Change Vs Tughill Curse?

    in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania

    Posted

    2 minutes ago, BuffaloWeather said:

    A video I put together from our walk in the woods over the weekend. This is a local park 8 minutes from my house. It has so many beautiful trails.

     

    Beautiful!  Did you snowshoe or able to walk it?  I do some shoeing locally and up in toothless land when I can. Can't bring my Siberian bc off the leash...he'd be in Canada in no time. And he is a PITA on a leash.

    • Haha 1

    Upstate/Eastern New York-Pattern Change Vs Tughill Curse?

    in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania

    Posted

    4 minutes ago, BuffaloWeather said:

    GEM is big hit for SNE, what a crazy model disparity so close.

    I wouldn't want to be clinging to the GEM and JMA ala TheForumThatShallNotBeNamed is doing now.  Sad.

    GooFus is too far right probably but despite the op Euro's always superior h500 verification vis-a-vis the GooFuS, seems like Euro has been slow to sniff out sensible, meaningful, system trends in comparison for a while now.

    Upstate/Eastern New York-Pattern Change Vs Tughill Curse?

    in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania

    Posted

    25 minutes ago, BuffaloWeather said:

    Yeah I mean this storm starts late Friday night. It's less than 48 hours away. There will likely be some small adjustments, but you'd have to be right on the coast unless it changes quite a bit in these runs in a few hours to be worth a chase.

    I do like Cape Cod a lot. Chatham wouldn't be a bad place to hole up for a CC blizzard weekend. Bit pricey though and the risk of getting mix in there is always high. But the wind might be worth it.  I guess I shouldn't have blown off this chica was seeing a bit recently. Could've been a real fun quick road trip.

    Upstate/Eastern New York-Pattern Change Vs Tughill Curse?

    in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania

    Posted

    39 minutes ago, Buffalo Bumble said:

    January 2022's weather journal for Buffalo written circa 1691...

    * Every day this month (26 days!) has had measurable snow.  I fear this climate is too harsh for any long-term settlement as these conditions are akin to those rumored to occur in the far northern regions. 

    * The snow appears suddenly out of nowhere.  Our local Doctor/Pastor/Postmaster/Weatherman announced today that the snow streak would be broken as the atmospheric pressure was certainly too high for any frozen precipitation to fall.  No sooner said than 2 inches of fluff fell from the sky this morning.  And lo...as I pen this there are yet more cotton balls pouring down into the night.  Clearly weather forecasting has a long way to go...I'm sure by the 21st century such folly will never take place.   

    * The heavy falls of snow are unlike anything even written in legend.  Two separate days in a little over a 1 week span where 17 inches fell!  

    * Remarkably, we have a report from our fellow settler Tughillory Matt of the Lysander colony of no snow cover, mild temperatures, and even early blooming plants.  Given his proximate latitude to our colony he must be located in a wonderful microclimate to afford such mid-winter bliss.  Oddly, all of his correspondence gives a sad and bitter tone.  

    So that's my silly way of relaying some pretty amazing stats for BUF in January (20)22!  

    Genius!! :lmao:

    Powerful Multi-regional/ multi-faceted east coastal storm now above medium confidence: Jan 29 -30th, MA to NE, with snow and mix combining high wind, and tides. Unusual early confidence ...

    in New England

    Posted

    3 minutes ago, tomcatct said:

    It's funny, I remember Brad field mentioning on the 6 pm news days before the storm that one of the lesser relied upon models,  he said the Japanese model, is showing a blizzard..all  on it's own.

    IMO, he was an excellent met. 

    True. I remember that.  

    • Like 1

    Upstate/Eastern New York-Pattern Change Vs Tughill Curse?

    in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania

    Posted

    Weekend def a coastal storm. We won't have to nail bight how far west the good stuff ends up, Ala the NE and esp the NYC forum.  Looks like 00Z Euro puts NYC on west edge of heavier totals with a sharp gradient. Almost no wiggle room there.

    3.3"/0.16 LE yesterday. Not quite enough for a "Top 5" event here, only 7th as I did record two separate 3.5" snowfalls prior.  About 7" over past 3 days and snowdepth almost a foot now.  Combined with -7F this a.m., deep winter.  These are the kind of wintry stretches you rarely get in more coastal or SE areas.

    • Like 2
×
×
  • Create New...