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Sey-Mour Snow

Meteorologist
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Everything posted by Sey-Mour Snow

  1. Long range amp happy NAM with a respectable output at 84.. pretty solid agreement out there besides the GFS slower and colder outlier but not by much..
  2. So it seems like all the local NWS maps are 12-18"+ even though there Watch is for 6-12"+ interesting.. Mount holly as some 18-24's on their map which I doubt verifies as they are pretty far SW, but who knows.. Seems like their next update will be significantly higher and they are using the NBM which is super bullish for this storm..
  3. Awesome to see you go all in! Hope it works out for all
  4. That's epic! Wow, on my bucket list to catch something like that..
  5. its refreshing to see modeled bombs inside the benchmark and inside 10 days again..
  6. Canadian tried for it, Canadian para 00z had a deeper 952 bomb inside BM , plenty of signal and support for something exotic in the 8-10 day range
  7. since we are in storm mode and this is pretty much the banter thread til next week.. Both storms here
  8. The NBM is wild.. looking deeper at the online tools gsl website.. Has snow liquid ratios 16-18:1 to start for many, dropping closer to 12:1 at the end of overrunning.. with 1-1.5" qpf for all of SNE..
  9. Wow Congrats I knew it when I saw what I had, shocked I have 1.5” here.
  10. Seeing reports of 2-3” in northern ct
  11. Another bust on guidance here, been snowing decently for 3 hours.. almost an inch.. nothing really had measurable here
  12. some EPS snow plumes while we wait for 00z guidance
  13. For the very little it’s worth, it’s by far the snowiest I’ve ever seen them even when you don’t include this weekends snows
  14. Weeklies got even crazier. 6 weeks of this pattern -NAO +PNA (-Epo mid Feb) With a -10 F 42 day anomaly and tons of coastals.
  15. Different mechanism . Thump then slot south . Lesser thump but prolonged period of snow with possible coastal enhancement north
  16. There are a lot of signs that point to this being a very strong thump especially south of the pike.. extremely anomalous WWA setup . As is euro is like 9+ hours of 1-2” + rates around here..
  17. To me this looks like a hellacious thump to slot for 8-12 hours then maybe we can fill in some more snow Sunday overnight into Monday. CNE and NNE may have longer duration. Moderate snow
  18. Thursday 4am earliest I’d say more likely Thursday PM watches
  19. The relative consistency run to run at 96 hours out is wild .. there are such small changes in qpf for all of the northeast if you toggle back the last 3 runs.
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