I think we could see freezing snizzle after the initial thump which wouldn't hurt on accumulations .. seems like 1-3" is a good bet first thump here, then we will nowcast what happens after if anything.
Yes gfs is the farthest north and warmest but every piece of guidance is north another shift on those and it’s game over for us southern weenies. My gut tells me congrats Rt 2
Yes I looked closer at just Thursday I counted 6 big hits for SNE and 3 glancing blows, the rest well south.
So about 16% of gefs members would be in business.
29th threat definitely on life support, verbatim Gfs is still very close and gives a few inches for the south coast . If other guidance jumps north I’ll stay interested if not congrats Mid - Atlantic.