Sey-Mour Snow
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Everything posted by Sey-Mour Snow
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Friday, May 15, 2020 Severe Weather Potential
Sey-Mour Snow replied to weatherwiz's topic in New England
the area of greatest tornado threat has been increased and also expanded south to include CT on the latest SPC update, interesting.... -
Really? I’m about 600’ here and it’s always a huge difference just down the hill. Especially these marginal late season storms.
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Close to a paste job in southern CT, surface a bit warm.
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Clown maps don’t look meager lol they are 12-24” for all of eastern New England.
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It definitely was more of a thread the needle solution down here. After the EURO tease for a few runs and especially on the 06z run showing a potent nor'easter earlier this winter ONLY 60-72 hours out only to completely take it away at 12z there on out, I'm not getting invested until like day 2 lol
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Yes, I guess that's why everyone is so dejected. The smallest shift upstairs causes a massive change in sensible weather for everyone up to CNE.. With the tenor of the season of getting burned, people just expect it to trend warmer. Still plenty of time left, lets see what today brings.
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Yes, it's much colder than the op, we hope.. If it's going to torch I'd rather have all sun and no rain.
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Lol EURO and GFS both changed quite a bit for us southeners. Instead of looking at several inches of snow sleet then freezing rain with a muted warm up. Now its maybe a coating of snow sleet Thursday AM while the rest of the week has highs of 50+ approaching 60 Thursday afternoon and Friday.
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I live in this area and the weather is much different than the NYC metro,. The Danbury area averages much more snowfall that 25-50 miles West of NYC.. This is the map from NWS UPTON NY, seasonal snowfall average. You have to go well north and west of the city 75+ miles to get the same snow climo.
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I think he meant the cold push is further south.
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Classic - small flake and massive flake, thats how you knew the it was really going to snow. I was only 9 at the time.
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Saturday afternoon from earliest guidance through Sunday night on the later guidance
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@The 4 Seasons measured it out he has all the forecasts and totals saved. He says 90-100 mile error for 18”+. Orange County was forecast for 27-33” they got 1-3”. Our area was in the heart of the 27-33” forecast zone and ended up with 6-10”. For the 12”+ forecast, the error was around 135 miles.
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Light Rain - Unlimited Visibility - I have Mount Tolland as my landmark for visibility since I got scolded for my moderate snow report a few storms back. Even though it’s 50 miles to my NE, Mount Tolland is so high I’m pretty sure I can see it in the background. Or maybe that’s a tree. Anyways enjoy the rain it’s the only precip you got!
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Oh it was much more that 20-40 miles lol forecasts were for 2-3’ west of NYC. It was more like 75-100 miles on the western edge.
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Just messing with your pull 5” out of our ass comment lol
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Hey now don’t hate us southerners.
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Looks like I ran the 3KM NAM from my basement. 7-8” over interior southern CT.
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HREF loves western CT not so much Eastern CT. Kind of makes sense given temp spike. 2-4" for eastern SNE 4-6" west of 91 and the NE hills of CT and Worcester Hills up north and west.
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No! Less snow down there! Where do you work? Move to a southern CT hill-town!
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Yes, primary a good deal weaker this run.
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GFS much slower like EURO for Saturday. Also pretty far south.
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Jan 8th, 2020 Coastal - little critter
Sey-Mour Snow replied to Baroclinic Zone's topic in New England
Exactly, I believe SOME of our obs are more accurate.... -
Jan 8th, 2020 Coastal - little critter
Sey-Mour Snow replied to Baroclinic Zone's topic in New England
Storm total will be about .6" .. Not bad when you were expecting nothing.
