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Sey-Mour Snow

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Everything posted by Sey-Mour Snow

  1. Sey-Mour Snow
    Yes I can see that too, we are right on the line now lost any buffer, like you said all I care about is being right; not how much we get.
  2. Sey-Mour Snow
    Perfectly said thanks. I’ll leave it there and watch tomorrow when they melt.
  3. Sey-Mour Snow
    Quite the opposite of you follow along you can admit you were wrong tomorrow.
  4. Sey-Mour Snow
    Lol ok dude take off the weenie goggles.
  5. Sey-Mour Snow
    ya I mean that makes this a low impact storm lol.. 1.2" qpf of some snow mostly sleet is still high impact..
  6. Sey-Mour Snow
    even Rgem hrrr and gfs were very snowy at 18z yesterday 6-10" for southern CT which we didn't buy , we were only expecting like 4" down here but damn what a change since then..
  7. Sey-Mour Snow
    the 6z run followed 00z trend for a change, so I believe it , I don't believe it when the 6z and 18z runs consistently don't follow the general trends ...
  8. Sey-Mour Snow
    highly doubt that .. this is slipping away very fast in brutal fashion for us on the fringe after the 18z tease yesterday.. having everything trend colder then a very last second flip warm is brutal lol
  9. Sey-Mour Snow
    What’s up with half the precip that run? 18z was a uniform 1.1-1.2” qpf 6z .5-.7 for most
  10. Sey-Mour Snow
    Euro is almost no snow and sleet accumulation at all down here so weird, euro is half the precip from prior runs. Just a dusting of sleet and snow and some freezing rain.
  11. Sey-Mour Snow
    NAM EURO RGEM Kuchera are 0-2” southern CT red flags growing… Kuchera maps will be much more accurate than 10:1 in this storm for the fringe
  12. Sey-Mour Snow
    What do you think about hrrr being so cold, usually it's both nam And hrrr that sniff it out.. 12/2020 comes to mind where nam and hrrr nailed that warm layer way north
  13. Sey-Mour Snow
    Ya, I didn’t believe that 18z run last night for a second, damn off hour runs are a joke they have to fix that on euro.
  14. Sey-Mour Snow
    It took longer than expected but the north shift is here! NAM is starting to be concerning bc it's not doing the normal nap flip flop HREF and RGEM are warm as well.. It's really GFS EURO and HRRR vs the NAM and RGEM
  15. Sey-Mour Snow
    I’d love nam to verify - the melts would be epic doesn’t change much here sleet storm 2022
  16. Sey-Mour Snow
    That’s only euro, obviously the off hour euro run last night was wrong and did it again, those off hour runs can’t be trusted. Weird battle going on with nam inside 24 hours and everything else even rgem is pretty toasty..
  17. Sey-Mour Snow
    Nam is wild lol hrrr is cold initially here then torches post precip into the 40s
  18. Sey-Mour Snow
    Much colder down here finally gets some snow for us
  19. Sey-Mour Snow
    Looks very warm aloft down here probably a few inches then sleet fest
  20. Sey-Mour Snow
    Ya, What’s weird is it didn’t follow the trend of bumping north every 6z/18z.
  21. Sey-Mour Snow
    Rain.
  22. Sey-Mour Snow
    15” spot right on Boston
  23. Sey-Mour Snow
    GFS thumps southern CT hard just after midnight tomorrow well before the mid levels warm we'd do several inches before any changeover easily.. let me check how horrible the growth is on that look. HRRR actually has great snow growth with 1-2" per hour rates at 10:1 .. I wonder if we over perform with the thump intensity and end up mixing earlier as usual and still get around 6" anyways...
  24. Sey-Mour Snow
    What you gonna do what you gonna do when we come for you?
  25. Sey-Mour Snow
    Ok I missed that. Let’s see what gfs and euro do at 12z
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