GFS thumps southern CT hard just after midnight tomorrow well before the mid levels warm we'd do several inches before any changeover easily.. let me check how horrible the growth is on that look. HRRR actually has great snow growth with 1-2" per hour rates at 10:1 .. I wonder if we over perform with the thump intensity and end up mixing earlier as usual and still get around 6" anyways...
Not even close to the NAM lol forecast remains exactly the same 4-8” probably closer to 4-6” but like to leave the 8” in there just in case the thump over-performs.
Ya I fully expect it to come south, but probably jump back north a few more times before game time. I’m expecting a crazy nam run at some point that even gets Ant fired up. I could see that 6z euro verifying though.