Jonathan

At this rate, we won't have a clue till Friday morning. I've seen plenty of flip flopping with models before, but this is the worst. And for such an insignificant system. Oy.

Something just doesn't look right with the NAM here. Two GL lows? The 500mb setup looks weird.

3 hours ago, franklin NCwx said:

Gfs will

It did

GFS BAYBEEEEE!!!!

What's with this precip gap in the NAM? 

This is just cruel. Supernatural powers at hand here.

EURO, you have betrayed me.

Someone hold me.

Here's Webber's first call for those interested.

32 minutes ago, Cold Rain said:

Let me know if the hounds need any help!

Unfortunately, we're going to have to start to see some significant north shifts to get to storm mode.

You throwing out the EC/UK/CMC, CR? The GFS is the only model squashing this thing ATM.

2 minutes ago, buckeyefan1 said:

 I have no idea  

Figured it out. I had no idea your attachments got saved to your member profile. Now I have to go in and delete 127 attachments one by one with the board going up and down.  

Never forget.

P.S. Why does the post attachment size change at random?

30 minutes ago, superjames1992 said:

 

This storm is making me miss Greensboro.

Hell, at this rate, GSO might miss out too.  

"Taking a blend" is a cop out. Someone put out a REAL forecast.

2 minutes ago, mackerel_sky said:

Virginia too

VA BEEN up in here since 18z yesterday, fam!

The Sanitarium is about to be LIT! We welcome all members from GA, AL and SC, too!

This sucks though.

8 minutes ago, Met1985 said:

I'm going to hashtag nw trend every post lol!

Do it!  I'm really trying to use reverse psychology here. I want that NW trend too. If the Ukie happened...my goodness...

11 minutes ago, fountainguy97 said:

I second this. Technically the euro swapped places with the gfs which means the gfs sniffed out a good NC snow first.. gfs has a suppression bias in this timeframe so no surprise it's suppressed. Look for it to tick back NW throughout the next several runs.  To me GFS has had a great handle on this storm... euro not so much it tried to sell the suppressed looks for days while gfs insisted on a snowy look

4 minutes ago, fountainguy97 said:

I'm curious to see how much of a shift we get once the energy comes ashore. The few runs after that is our normal time for the usual NW trend  I like our chances though with the gfs showing it's typical suppression. This euro run will be very telling 

#AnotherOne

9 minutes ago, Brick Tamland said:

Euro, UK, and Canadian are better for here than the GFS, too. Maybe we're going to see the NW trend with the GFS like it does often a couple of days before the event unfolds.

31 minutes ago, fritschy said:

starting to get into the time frame where this starts ticking NW a little at a time, from my experience.

 

 

This will start a NW movement most likely, starting to get into that time frame.

31 minutes ago, beanskip said:

Number of times in the years I've been on this board (and the old Wright Weather days) when the GFS showed a suppressed system that ended up trending north: Lots.

Number of times in the years I've been on this board when the GFS showed a system too warm/north and it trended south: Never.

People: this is where you want to be if you live in ATL/GSP/CLT/RDU.

31 minutes ago, RubiksDestroyer said:

I like where the GFS is right now. It seems to me that it didn't shift any further south this run, unlike the past 4 runs, which is good news. If the other models hold this suite and the GFS starts trending NW over the next few runs, I'd be very happy.

30 minutes ago, Poimen said:

Generally speaking, when the GFS has LP tracking across central FL at this lead, it usually turns out well for the NC crowd. We'll see, but I would expect it to eventually come north. 

 viva la NW trend when things are looking bleak for yby!

(It's ok fellas, I feel your pain too. Just trying to make light of the sitch.)

All the NC peeps are in "NW trend" panic mode this morning.  This one isn't coming north, boys.

I don't have a dog in the fight at this point (I've already jumped) but I'll sit back and watch the 5 stages of grief set in for the RDU crowd.  

I'd been wanting to remove my signature for awhile. I knew it was long. But I'd honestly forgotten how to do it! Anyway, I figured it out and my piddly list of DEC 2015 events are now gone!

Just now, Met1985 said:

It's over bro!

It was never not over.  We haven't had suppression in 10 years, now all of a sudden there's a chance of a widespread blockbuster and it snows at the beach instead. How very climo of you, mother nature. E NC is destroying me in snowfall the past 15 years.

2 minutes ago, buckeyefan1 said:

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

At this rate, I'll have to drive to Phil's house to see snow. @pcbjr

I want the 12z back

Just now, Disc said:

Only useful out to 1hr.

Ain't it the truth.

NAM looks good thru 3hr  

Just now, AsheCounty48 said:

As they should at this point.

At least we have the scoreboard in our favor! So far with 2 potential southeast wintry events in December:

GFS 2
EURO 0