Jonathan

The Sanitarium is about to be LIT! We welcome all members from GA, AL and SC, too!

This sucks though.

8 minutes ago, Met1985 said:

I'm going to hashtag nw trend every post lol!

Do it!  I'm really trying to use reverse psychology here. I want that NW trend too. If the Ukie happened...my goodness...

11 minutes ago, fountainguy97 said:

I second this. Technically the euro swapped places with the gfs which means the gfs sniffed out a good NC snow first.. gfs has a suppression bias in this timeframe so no surprise it's suppressed. Look for it to tick back NW throughout the next several runs.  To me GFS has had a great handle on this storm... euro not so much it tried to sell the suppressed looks for days while gfs insisted on a snowy look

4 minutes ago, fountainguy97 said:

I'm curious to see how much of a shift we get once the energy comes ashore. The few runs after that is our normal time for the usual NW trend  I like our chances though with the gfs showing it's typical suppression. This euro run will be very telling 

#AnotherOne

9 minutes ago, Brick Tamland said:

Euro, UK, and Canadian are better for here than the GFS, too. Maybe we're going to see the NW trend with the GFS like it does often a couple of days before the event unfolds.

31 minutes ago, fritschy said:

starting to get into the time frame where this starts ticking NW a little at a time, from my experience.

 

 

This will start a NW movement most likely, starting to get into that time frame.

31 minutes ago, beanskip said:

Number of times in the years I've been on this board (and the old Wright Weather days) when the GFS showed a suppressed system that ended up trending north: Lots.

Number of times in the years I've been on this board when the GFS showed a system too warm/north and it trended south: Never.

People: this is where you want to be if you live in ATL/GSP/CLT/RDU.

31 minutes ago, RubiksDestroyer said:

I like where the GFS is right now. It seems to me that it didn't shift any further south this run, unlike the past 4 runs, which is good news. If the other models hold this suite and the GFS starts trending NW over the next few runs, I'd be very happy.

30 minutes ago, Poimen said:

Generally speaking, when the GFS has LP tracking across central FL at this lead, it usually turns out well for the NC crowd. We'll see, but I would expect it to eventually come north. 

 viva la NW trend when things are looking bleak for yby!

(It's ok fellas, I feel your pain too. Just trying to make light of the sitch.)

All the NC peeps are in "NW trend" panic mode this morning.  This one isn't coming north, boys.

I don't have a dog in the fight at this point (I've already jumped) but I'll sit back and watch the 5 stages of grief set in for the RDU crowd.  

I'd been wanting to remove my signature for awhile. I knew it was long. But I'd honestly forgotten how to do it! Anyway, I figured it out and my piddly list of DEC 2015 events are now gone!

Just now, Met1985 said:

It's over bro!

It was never not over.  We haven't had suppression in 10 years, now all of a sudden there's a chance of a widespread blockbuster and it snows at the beach instead. How very climo of you, mother nature. E NC is destroying me in snowfall the past 15 years.

2 minutes ago, buckeyefan1 said:

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

At this rate, I'll have to drive to Phil's house to see snow. @pcbjr

I want the 12z back

Just now, Disc said:

Only useful out to 1hr.

Ain't it the truth.

NAM looks good thru 3hr  

Just now, AsheCounty48 said:

As they should at this point.

At least we have the scoreboard in our favor! So far with 2 potential southeast wintry events in December:

GFS 2
EURO 0

WPC laughing at anyone even remotely thinking the GFS has a shot...lolz

4 minutes ago, franklin NCwx said:

Good test going on now with the euro gfs.

I WAS JUST LOOKING FOR THIS THREAD! haha, can the GFS go 3/3?!

28 minutes ago, WxWatcher007 said:

As founder, owner, and COO of The Panic Room in the mid-Atlantic, I love this thread.

Thank you, kind sir!

1 minute ago, Cold Rain said:

Good point.  And what's with the Europeans not being able to get their model to run any faster?  I mean, why can the rest of the world have their models done by 12 or 12:30 and Europe can't get theirs finished till 1-2 hrs later?!

Tea and biscuits.

1 minute ago, Snowless in Carrollton said:

I didnt watch the game. How many points did Ohio State score ? I hope a lot

Pretty sure this is sarcasm but just for kicks:

This time next week, everyone in this forum outside of the mountains will have exactly as much accumulated snow as Ohio State had points against Clemson.

Regarding any wintry event next week:

Curtains.

Looks like it's curtains for me. I'll stay in the Sanitarium while all you guys south of me cash in. You deserve it! I may drive down to CLT and get snowed in next weekend.

NWS Blacksburg:
For the latter half of the long term period, the long range models
are now forecasting a more zonal pattern with elongated energy
moving out of the Great Basin, instead of a more amplified upper
trof. The 12Z GFS continues this trend and now phasing of the
northern and southern stream systems is not forecast. With trends
and now some run to run consistency depicting this solution,
continued to the trend of lowering POPS Thursday-Saturday and
lowering temps as cold air pressure noses in through this period.

2 minutes ago, NorthGaWinter said:

Whatever happened to burgertime?

Amsterdam.

1 minute ago, AsheCounty48 said:

Everyone NW of the 12z gfs complaining the sweet spot isn't in their backyard. Don't they know we always get that NW jog as we get closer? You should be cheering you're not ground zero.

Day 5-7 range is the "squash" range.

I'm not saying this one will trend NW, because apparently there's going to be an impressive cold push, (and because people will say I'm wishcasting for my area--which I'm not) but usually once we hit D5 and closer, we start to see those few NW jogs.

5 minutes ago, Jon said:

Regulars in this thread right now

I HATE that the GFS/CMC did this to us...I'm already nervous about the EURO now...

Today's run of the CFS basically paints us as an extension of the Bahamas. Only one run left to seal the deal on the entire month of JAN.

'grats, shetley.