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Burghblizz

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Posts posted by Burghblizz

  1. 5 minutes ago, TimB said:

    Won’t comment until this event is over, but it’s best to just keep expectations low. It’s no secret that if there were a stat for “snow climo relative to neighboring areas”, Pittsburgh may very well be in or near last place in the entire US.

    Every weenie thinks that. Look at the snow hole in South central PA this year. Try a Philly or DC 2” winter.

    Anyway - ripping 2” per hour right now. Not sure if it last for an hour, but approaching a fresh inch. Nice last 30 days as I’m around 25”.


     

  2. If you want a decent reference site for local forecasts, this is it. Honestly, I think they are making the same mistake you are by using that brief moment where the 12” point and click contour made it down to Moon Twp. Also, Intellicast goes off of that I believe. The NWS statement was 6-12” and 6-11” at various times.  So throw that in this bunch:

    But you’ll see this was the landscape of local forecasts. To pretty decent for a 9” storm. It’s the highest model and weenie dreams that didn’t verify. The forecasts did. 
     

     

  3. Just now, KPITSnow said:

    The map came out at 1pm, and we were done at that point. 
     

    Just freaking stop brining it up in every post. You thought it was a good event, great. I think it was one of the worst busts I’ve experienced.

    The map did, but they aggregate reports from earlier. So like I said, you can cross reference the report times in the PIS and LSR’s

    Not sure why you are so obsessed to show that 7” fell instead of 9” in a storm that was forcasted to get 6 to 11”.

    Anyway, take this to banter. 

    • Like 3
    • Weenie 1
  4. 5 minutes ago, KPITSnow said:

    I don’t get why you guys keep bringing this up? 
     

    At least half the county got less than 8 inches. That means a lot of us didn’t verify warning criteria. I’m not blaming the NWS, but this storm underperformed on a big way.

     

    and to your point in 1/19/19 it was raining and 35 before warnings were dropped.

    You brought it up. Linking a map. A map that includes early and mid event totals. Cross reference that with the PIS and the times of those reports. 

    Sorry the storm underformed your expectations. It snowed 9.1”. Probably a little more here. 

    Forecasts were fine. Every local, accuweather, and the NWS statement validated. 

    Literally 30 posts because some dude at NWS briefly pulled the 12” contour down west of the city. 

    • Like 4
  5. 7 minutes ago, TimB84 said:

     

    This is very anecdotal. There were some abysmal winters in Pittsburgh in the ‘90s, including ‘92-93 until that switch flipped in mid-February. Further, every year of the ‘90s reached 60 in either January or February or both, and it was 2/4 or earlier in all but 1992 (2/22) and 1994 (2/18). It got to 70 in February twice in the ‘90s. There were three winters that were above normal snowfall (yes, all three were way above normal snowfall), but there were also 3 years with snowfall totals in the 20s and ‘90-‘91 ended with 17.2” at PIT. The big events you mention were memorable, but outside of those it was a bad decade for snow in general. Early 2000s were a bit better.

    That 37 months from Dec 92 to Jan 96 had a LOT of snow. It was more than a few big storms. That’s my favorite extended period. Best month was 2.10.

    https://www.weather.gov/media/pbz/records/hissnow.pdf

  6. Your “model runs” were the Weather Channel 5 day business planner. If those hit a couple times in a row, then I started watching locals. If they started mentioning it, I’d  wait for the orange screen on TWC for the Winter Storm Watch. 

    I mean, I wouldn’t trade today’s direct access to models, message boards, internet, etc. But still very nostalgic about those times. 

  7. 2 minutes ago, Rd9108 said:

    I think he's more frustrated with the models showing the usual last minute hope at some big totals and then faded away. I can only imagine how intense tracking 2010s storm must have been for you guys.

    Feb 10 was a weenie dream. Snowed almost 50”

    The 2.5.10 was what we all strive for. 6-10/8-12 type forecasts, but seeing the 20”+ model support actually come to fruition.

    I remember having 11” on the ground and seeing the 0zNAM come in at another 12” — then thinking “sonofabitch, we got this”

  8. The NWS statement was 6-12” (yeah, I get their grid had more) What most of the public sees is the statement. 

    The locals at various times were 5-12/5-9/6-10, etc.

    It snowed 9.1”

    It was pretty well forecasted even if the city and valleys had more like 7 or 8. 

    Models arent forecasts. I get if Kpitsnow was disappointed and wanted more - and that’s his right. But it was well within the compilation of local forecasts. 

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