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Posts posted by Burghblizz
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These lake enhanced streamers mean business. Prolonging the heavier snow
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Back end of main shield getting here, but some heavier bursts imbedded. SN++
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5 minutes ago, Rd9108 said:
sounds like the official total is gonna be a lot higher than say the metros.
Maybe/maybe not. Seeing a lot of 4’s and 5’s elsewhere so far.
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About 5 min of drizzle, now snowing sideways. Hopefully off and running.
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39 minutes ago, north pgh said:
We are getting 4-6 inches and most of it will fall between 2:00 am and 9:00 am. Then snow showers after that accumulating an additional inch or so off and on during the afternoon. MY Final Call.
I like it. We sometimes make a late comeback with these types of set ups. Progressive nature though might hurt getting the top end.
I love when it snows at daybreak and you transition from watching street lights to just watching it snow - so hopefully it’s ripping still.
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Looking like a good probability of at least a moderate event Saturday. Don’t see this popping >70% 3 days out too often.
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11 minutes ago, TimB said:
Just went out and measured about 3.75”. Where are all the “they should have issued an advisory” posts?
Probably decided against it since the impact to the roads is less than what the snow totals are, AND there wasn’t one from the start.
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The heaviest bands now are stopping at the AGC line. KPITs yard is taking the good stuff!
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2.3” at NWS as of 9:30. Could easily hit 4”.
Roads are still in generally good shape around here.
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12Z NAM for Saturday is a cutter…until it isn’t.
Stops in its tracks in central WV then makes a right and dumps a foot.
Good run for us, although not sure that evolution is realistic.
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It’s snowing aht…
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I know this doesn’t hold up as an “official ob”, but 2” on my deck furniture so far
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2 hours ago, CoraopolisWx said:
Weird CAD setup for tomorrows system.
Weekend has an odd semi progressive look.
Yeah 18Z GFS is a crush job - but would definitely have to track perfectly as it seems to want to scoot along quickly. Really nice track though this run.
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2 hours ago, canderson said:
Line out in western PA has tstorm warnings from south to north border. Impressive.
We gusted over 60. Holy hell was it windy. At one point, the rain had all but stopped, but the wind was driving just the ponded water being kicked up by cars horizontally. Not sure I’ve ever seen that to that extent.
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36 minutes ago, TimB said:
Hard to envision a scenario where winter isn’t over. We’ve currently had 1.6” from Feb 6 on. Outside of a couple years in the 1880s (which we all know I question the accuracy of), we’ve never had less than 3.6” from February 6 until the end of the snowfall season. Normally I’d say we can pick up 2” in March, but we’ve gotten barely half that the last two years combined and the pattern for this March doesn’t look good.
March still has more snow on average than December, even with the most recent 30 year average.
So winters ending with a dud isn’t a long term trend just yet.
I’ll be out of town late next week, so I’ve had that targeted for awhile for a big storm.
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11 hours ago, TimB said:
0z GFS: 1.2” QPF from the late week event, 0.13” zr, 0.5” snow, approximately a full inch of precip wasted on rain.
It’s a rain storm. So not really wasted since it was never in the cards. Beautiful day today. Hopefully something pops up after this system.
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I’m not watching every run this week if the GFS is in its own. (I say that now)
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2 minutes ago, TimB said:
7” and never changes to rain. I’d take that.
Would love for it to lock in with the mix line in northern WV so we have some wiggle room
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25 minutes ago, north pgh said:
Sun is out but now getting some 40 mph gusts. Really blowing the snow around. Kind of neat to see.
It it looks like a smaller band about to coming down from the northwestern part of the county.
Yeah I was thinking the same - ground blizzard at times with sun in between. Pretty cool.
Second batch has arrived with heavy snow. Looks to be shorter lived. Also, the sun has been peaking through at times, despite snowing pretty heavily.
Western PA/Pittsburgh Winter 2021/22 Discussion
in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
Posted
8” on my back deck