Burghblizz

If we could only get this kind of training and efficiency for a snowstorm. 

On 3/26/2024 at 2:35 PM, TheClimateChanger said:

Also, on the topic of snowfall. Currently sixth lowest seasonal total [since 1880-1881]. Last year's total was eighth least but may drop to ninth (as shown below) if there is no additional significant snowfall this year.

Limiting to snowfall records taken at one of the two airport sites (1935-1936 to present), makes it even worse.

There had only been 3 years with less than 20" at either airport site (1937-1938, 1973-1974, and 1990-1991) and we are currently in danger of a second straight year with less than 20 inches. I blame @Burghblizz. He had noted we haven't had to deal with any 20" or less seasons shortly before the March 2018 storm were a lot of people were complaining about the lack of snowfall in recent winters. Of course, 2017-2018 had a crazy ending with 10.5" from the big storm and another 7.3" over the first few weeks of April. Now we've had two straight [likely], and just barely exceeded that total in 2019-2020.

Haha - I did say that. For a bunch of years it was the NFL equivalent of having non-losing seasons and losing in the playoffs. Got snow, but missed in the big games (storms). My positive spin was that at least we are practically guaranteed 20”+ regardless of how bad it was. At that point, it had happened maybe 1-2 times in 40 years. 

The funny thing is in the last 6-7 years we’ve had a decent group of 8-12” storms. The lack of those for a while was causing a lot of whining. But obviously 3 seasons in that period have been historically low overall.

3 hours ago, PghPirates27 said:

These maps hit different 

I remember looking real close to make sure the white area made it all the way to the Ohio line (in retrospect, it was understated)

5 hours ago, Rd9108 said:

Will we ever see this again in our lifetimes?

 

We’d be panicking that shit was sliding east

8 hours ago, Rd9108 said:

It may go down historically as the worst winter ever but parts of the Burgh did better than the reporting station. 

Ironically, probably 5 miles south of there got another 7-8”.  (Which isn’t a ton, but for this year it will be decent % of the total)

I technically have this for tomorrow which is one of the more aggressively worded headlines all winter. I have to think though this is more intended for the northern half of the Butler County.
 

Can’t see this being too great in Cranberry, but I wouldn’t mind some nice squalls. 

A 50” February wasn’t *that* long ago. Also, what followed was 5 or 6 above average snowfall Februarys in a row - getting well into mid 2010s. At that point one could have said they are becoming snowier than January.

Two bad years doesn’t mean winter has changed. 2022 was the snowiest March since ‘93.

And like I have said - this isn’t disputing the overall impact of climate change. But local sensible weather (esp pertaining to snow) needs a lot more data to conclude anything anytime soon. At this point - it’s just two bad winters. 

Wouldn’t be shocked to see an inch or two along the I70 corridor this morning. Healthy little batch of steady snow. That was modeled way south a few days ago

On 2/17/2024 at 12:09 PM, Mailman said:

 

He still has this as his “pinned tweet”. Kind of silly at this point. Have to hope for a strong March.

Rippin here right now. Heaviest I’ve personally seen since yesterday. Great morning (although, not gonna lie, jealous of 6-7” 20 miles away)

Seeing also 6+ in Plum too. Which basically means that band…cutting through the center of the entire length of Allegheny County will wind up dropping 6-8”.

Even though that cuts through a pretty populated swath, not sure we have a ton of posters that got to enjoy it full on. But still a pretty remarkable event. 

2 minutes ago, Ahoff said:

There’s a 6.5” report in Imperial.  I don’t see how the airport doesn’t reach 3”.  And if it doesn’t I don’t think I could trust the recorders.  The airport was absolutely seeing parts of that heavy band.

It was kind of fringed, and the NWS is on Shafer road with is even a touch north from there. 

Imperial - literally 5 miles from the airport. 6.5”.

If I recall, they got the lake band too. People there are probably thinking it ain’t a bad winter 

40 minutes ago, Jns2183 said:

We should wait till it occurs. Especially since people in Pittsburgh are saying it's an overachiever for them

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It’s a pretty narrow band, it just happens to be going right through the city. Places west of the city into eastern Ohio have 6-10”. Outside of the mega band, I think we are looking at more like a widespread 2-4”. 

2 minutes ago, Rd9108 said:

Sheesh. That's an overperformer. Modeling has zero chance of picking that up imo.

The mesos did have some weenie bands, but not in that area. Was further south and east. 

3 minutes ago, Burghblizz said:

Airport looks like it’s been catching the northern fringe of the band. 

1.5” in the last two hours, with 2” total.

Steubenville/Wintersville area is about 25 miles southwest and is pushing 6”. Some of those types of totals will likely translate east. 

Definitely a nowcast storm. Certainly looked like the sweet spot would be further south.

 

 

 

 

Correction - 7” already in Steubenville 

Airport looks like it’s been catching the northern fringe of the band. 

1.5” in the last two hours, with 2” total.

Steubenville/Wintersville area is about 25 miles southwest and is pushing 6”. Some of those types of totals will likely translate east. 

Definitely a nowcast storm. Certainly looked like the sweet spot would be further south.

Totals in eastern Ohio are going to be interesting. Places near Steubenville with 4” and a good bit to go. I saw about 2” downtown already but not a lot of reports from the western suburbs yet. Figure some folks there are doing well. 

Band in Ohio getting thicker. Hoping that can swing north a little. I got into a little heavier snow, but mostly on the outside looking in still. About a half inch so far 

Downtown getting drilled

34 minutes ago, north pgh said:

Remember that this snow is mostly going to fall over a 6 hour or so period so to even get 2-4 inches it will snow at least 1/2 inch an hour which is pretty good rates. Even an inch an hour in some cases. 

Big fan of rates and daytime. Daytime is definitely out, but at least it looks like it won’t be in the middle of the night. I think south of the city still looks really good. I’m a little worried we northern people might not quite get the heavy stuff, but we’ll see.
 

The 2:00 advisory update now advertising “3-5 with locally higher along route 70”

Models (and now radar) have shown this northern tongue of sorts that looks to get the precip going sooner. Will be interesting to see where this sets up, as it could help with some of the totals along the northern side of this. 

Weenie band getting thicker. I still think the best energy is probably south of this depiction locally, but will be an interesting nowcast this evening. Westmoreland pounded on the run.p

HRRR Weenie band

I’m probably a touch north for this, but thinking there are some sweet spots (4”+) in the south hills or Westmoreland county. Basically far enough north to catch some better ratios, but far enough south to catch higher precip amounts.