Burghblizz

57 minutes ago, TheClimateChanger said:

I feel like, as we enter into a new climate regime, it's going to be difficult not to see our snowfall decline precipitously. Pittsburgh is just too far south and low elevation to see much snow in a warmer climate. I think most places at similar latitude and altitude see less in the way of snowfall already, and many of our bigger storms are already nailbiters here. So I would expect more of the precipitation from those events to fall as rain.

“The new climate regime”….lol. I know this winter has sucked and today is warm, but…

Our 30 year average snow went UP to 44” during the period ending in 2020.

The first 2 complete years of this decade are averaging even MORE than that.
 

Even the futility of multiple bad years in the late 80s/early 90s turned into boom years.

Not doubting overall climate change, but let’s not get ahead of ourselves in terms of our own weather. There are no significant here trends for less snow. The last 90 days kinda sucked. That’s really the extent of it. 

28 minutes ago, donyewest said:

Every yellow->red tint is above average in standard deviations.  Column "T" is temperature, "PW" is precipitable water, "Q" is humidity.

Translation: 

warm/wet

dry/cold

Although maybe some hope towards the latter portion. 

No issues with a 70 degree Feb day as  long as it’s sandwiched into a good winter. Not the case this year obviously 

Such a boring sports weekend too…bad timing to have no real threats to track.

7 hours ago, Rd9108 said:

Who is your dealer because you sound like you are under the influence. I hope you're right though. I'm betting March 5-9 we will get our good storm since I'll be in Texas.

Not saying it’s shaping up to be great - but we are basically only at halftime in terms of expected snowfall. I know we start to deal with sun angle and short lived snow packs, but March averages as much snow as Dec.

So take an average second half we are up over 30”. Then it’s just a below average winter instead of a historically dreadful one. 

2 hours ago, Ahoff said:

Are you clairvoyant?

In some ways, it’s been less disappointing. But I do think we have a mini-rally and have a decent second half.

30 minutes ago, donyewest said:

We got about 1.5~2" over ~60 minutes but now it's all graupel.

Certainly didn’t have the track to be a big storm - but at least had a short period that felt like a nice storm. 

1 hour ago, blackngoldrules said:

Well, my girlfriend lives in Bessmer, which is near New Castle. She said, "it looks like a snow globe there. Easily 2 inches so far." Lucky. If it works out, I may move up there. Lol I was with her over the weekend and she got about 2 or 3 inches while I was there Sunday night into Monday morning.

Sent from my SM-G991U using Tapatalk
 

Real nice 3 hours in Cranberry - about 2” that mostly fell in 2 hours.

Missed the first batch to the north, and that warm surge shut things off earlier than I would have liked. Roads cleared up pretty quick too.

Pounding now….1” in the last 50 min.

19 minutes ago, north pgh said:

2 or 3 hours of moderate to heavy snow could give most of us a surprise 3 inches. I'd take it.  Forget the forecast it's nowcast time

Not really a suprise :-)

(unless u listen to some of these guys)

53 minutes ago, Rd9108 said:

Must be a bunch of backside 

 

10” blob over me, and a couple other weenie blobs.

Probably just a glitch, but could be a sign of some heavier rates around. 

I’m still pretty optimistic. Granted, I’m 25 miles north of the city, but I think there is a decent chance for 3-4”…with the bonus of nice rates and daytime. 

I’m about 10 feet on the good side of the NAM (SE extreme of its 5”-7” swath). But no room for error and agonizingly close for others.

That initial push of moisture to the north is annoying. Hopefully that is wider (and/or) sets up farther south. 

Solid 3”+ now. Big fatties flying again. Beautiful morning 

Sweet spot looked to be East Liverpool with around 4”. I got about 2.5”. That evening batch came together nicely, and lingered a bit overnight.

Hopefully we can go thump to dry slot Wed.

These bands keep reforming NW of the city. I’m on the eastern side of it, but snowing pretty good again. Wouldn’t be suprised to see some 3” totals in Beaver county. 

17 minutes ago, Ahoff said:

This is officially the worst r/s line screwing I’ve ever experienced.

I had maybe a 10 minute flurry then drizzle, and then nothing.

It wasn’t exactly life changing here on the good side. Pushing 2”, but not missing all that much. 

Very inefficient .5” after snowing most of the day…but this most recent batch after dark has been nice. About 1.5” total. 

Ripping nice - temp 33 but ground white. Still think north of the city can pull a couple inches. 

The key to squeezing out a couple inches today could be these temps.

The forecast temps are higher than the models but the obs this morning are tracking a bit lower. That might be a bit weenish, but I’m saying there is a chance.

Sunday looking a little better…I feel like Wed is trending towards a cutter.

Give me two clean, 8-12” storms and I’ll be OK with a sub 30” winter. 

21 hours ago, PghPirates27 said:

Enough to make the roads terrible. 

Amazing how temps impacted that. Today is really the first day since last Thursday that the roads havent been bad in at least some spots. 

42 minutes ago, canderson said:

Boy that Buffalo forecast for 3-5’ show with gusts to 70 is wild. 

My bar for being “too much” is pretty high. But they are pushing it. Some of those videos looked more like natural disasters than a snowstorm. 

1 hour ago, TimB said:

-6 was a rounded figure. Was -5 on the daily climate report. Still incredible. 1.2” of snow too.

Maybe I got a little more, but if this is 1.2”, it’s the most impactful 1.2” I’ve ever seen. Roads look like there was a foot (in terms of impact, that is).
 

If they are measuring in an open area, that snow went somewhere else.