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tstate21

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Everything posted by tstate21

  1. tstate21
    Agreed. You could see improvement with the ridge setting up over Greenland in a much better spot around the 138h mark. That WC ridge is a thing of beauty too.
  2. tstate21
    Rather than focusing on each model run's exact depiction of the storm, at this point, it's best to look at the trends of each model over the past 48 hours, and just about every run for each of the major models has trended south. Not sure we are done trending south either due to the strength of the block and the spacing between the two storms. We shall see.
  3. tstate21
    Front end of the lead storm in NE Baltimore heading towards Middle River is getting a hook look to it as well.
  4. tstate21
    Well my above post aged well. Still not seeing any tight rotation on velocity scans though.
  5. tstate21
    Could definitely see some rotation in the clouds as the storms rolled in here in Owings Mills as well. More wind on the immediate front end of the storm than during.
  6. tstate21
    It seems that most models have sped up the line by 2 to 3 hours over the past 24h so that its coming through the metro areas around 2-3pm as opposed to 5-6pm. If it slows back down to the latter time, I would expect the metros to have higher impacts. Something to watch as storms develop tomorrow.
  7. tstate21
    We've got thundersnow here in NW Baltimore county. Nice surprise today!
  8. tstate21
    Much better look than prior runs showing up around day 9 on the 00z GFS. Looks like a piece of energy cuts off around the southern coast of CA so the western trough is far less pronounced. More doable zonal flow sets up in early January.
  9. tstate21
    Quarter size hail from this storm for a minute or two from this storm as it passed by here in Owings Mills.
  10. tstate21
    No snow, but did just have some pea-sized hail here in Owings Mills for a few minutes with this passing line of showers.
  11. tstate21
    00z CMC at hour 204 is a prime example of what can happen if the energy doesn't all dump into the SW US. GFS at the same timeframe has the energy diving into NM/AZ so it amplifies the flow and it ends up cutting. CMC dives it into TX instead. Would like to see the EURO do something similar this run.
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