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dendrite

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Everything posted by dendrite

  1. dendrite
    31° Sun dimly visible at times
  2. dendrite
    That’s why I like them more for the extended and mid range. Granted that was an AI ens to begin with, but even with the “op” AI I’m still hesitant to use use them close in except for trends. Yeah, the coarseness tightens up as we get closer, but it hasn’t been to regular op gradients. But it’s a new tool and we’re all figuring out how to use it.
  3. dendrite
    Last 4 runs of the AIFS ENS for the 18z-18z period beginning today. Not that any model has done well, but do we consider this a good performance?
  4. dendrite
    Good catch. They were having an issue with the precip maps of the CMC products awhile back.
  5. dendrite
    Some of the mesos are still good down there. We just don’t know.
  6. dendrite
    GFS a little tick east again too. May not get much more than a few tenths here with the inv trough.
  7. dendrite
    RGEM was rough.
  8. dendrite
    Maybe I can reach climo on just 1-3 inchers.
  9. dendrite
    Final core was 1.5”/0.11” Event total 3.0”/0.21”
  10. dendrite
    22.6° -SN
  11. dendrite
    Definitely low CC S of LI. There must be some mixing aloft.
  12. dendrite
    Ray went from bitching about missing both events to taking others down with him to bragging about getting both events in 24hrs. Impressive.
  13. dendrite
    Looks like noise to me
  14. dendrite
    Looks like she’s initialized into the PAC NW for right when the shortwaves come ashore.
  15. dendrite
    They should have that disclaimer on all models lately.
  16. dendrite
    Today definitely ended up more south. Mesos ftl.
  17. dendrite
    1.5”/0.10” in the first core. Maybe we can push 4” total here.
  18. dendrite
    Not doing your mental gymnastics. I'm not ruling out a little snow for ALB. You said mid level banding implying it would be more substantial.
  19. dendrite
    lol...good luck with that
  20. dendrite
    You just never know how out of control he will get with his weenie when it gets excited.
  21. dendrite
    What do you mean by NY state?
  22. dendrite
    Not offhand....they always seem to be moving the link for those scores. I think the die off for 0.90 was up around d5 now?
  23. dendrite
    If that's H5 AC...IIRC 0.50 is getting around d10 with the ops.
  24. dendrite
    For AC's that low...what day is that? 7? 10?
  25. dendrite
    Yeah...best precip is north of that 850-925 slot. They'll moisten back up down there as that weak low/mid level boundary pushes eastward.
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