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dendrite

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Everything posted by dendrite

  1. dendrite
    It’s coming onshore coastal NH now. There’s the overall inverted trough and then the more convective elements closer to the coast embedded.
  2. dendrite
    Getting more of those NORLUN echoes snaking into PWM now.
  3. dendrite
    Inv trough Up to 1.5” with some good bursts of fluff. Getting a little breezy too.
  4. dendrite
    It was right for the wrong reasons up here.
  5. dendrite
    You can see some of those convective elements offshore on GYX now. That should back near the coast and then maybe clip Cape Ann and the Cape later as the trough sags south.
  6. dendrite
    Yeah there’s going to be a migrating boundary for a couple of weeks surrounding Christmas. That SE ridge will occasionally flex its muscles and try to advect warm plumes our way, but the axis seems to be enough west that we’re going to be susceptible to late digging shortwaves that cut them off. But you can’t rule out a good warm sector or two sneaking in or at least some DSD days following a wedged day. Deets TBD.
  7. dendrite
    1.5-2” would be a win up here for this when it was looking like flurries 36hrs ago.
  8. dendrite
    Yes but only if we sacrifice Jan and Feb.
  9. dendrite
    Rockport could get some sneaky good amounts if the more convective elements of that norlun swing through there. 3k nam is 4-6” there.
  10. dendrite
    Right around 1/2” new But yeah, a heavier -SN
  11. dendrite
    Looks like the inverted trough is firing up along the NH/ME border.
  12. dendrite
    Yeah that was my thinking…some filtering algorithm due to clutter.
  13. dendrite
    I’m not a radar expert so I’m not sure what exactly is going on at BOX specifically. It doesn’t look like a tree/mtn/blockage issue. If you go up to 2 or 3 it improves a bit.
  14. dendrite
    You’re near the radar. That’s not a real hole.
  15. dendrite
    24.2° -SN
  16. dendrite
    “Tries” That’s probably 2-4”/3-5” with ratios.
  17. dendrite
  18. dendrite
    A norlun band offshore merges in over the cape at the end.
  19. dendrite
    3k nam tries to jack up here.
  20. dendrite
  21. dendrite
    I need a few of these.
  22. dendrite
    These are the manual created maps. The others are generated by text probabilities.
  23. dendrite
    Calculated some Cobb snow estimates from the 12z gfs and nam (respectively) CON 0.0/0.1 PWM 0.1/0.4 BOS 0.9/1.1 ORH 0.7/0.5 PSF 1.9/0.7 EWB 3.5/3.7 HYA 0.8/3.7 BDL 0.7/0.3 HFD 3.2/1.0 HVN 1.3/2.5 GON 1.3/3.4 PVD 2.1/2.9
  24. dendrite
    I think it’s the low probability of a little weenie norlun I mentioned. That may explain the shape too.
  25. dendrite
    Did mekster draw this?
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