dendrite

They’re learning that it’s fun to troll weather weenies

Heh…I remember seeing this story before

I’d rather compare the upper levels rather than QPF. It seems like they throw QPF further back than you would expect from the shortwave, but sometimes as you get close the shortwaves trend more amplified. So are the AIs sometimes right for the wrong reasons?

He may need a blue pill

It was either Mike Bono or Dave Schwartz that was on air that morning and made a comment like “that’s nothing to be embarrassed about”

-45° We can always go lower

That’s one way to bring down the temperature in Minneapolis

I think we’re slowly narrowing the goalposts. NAM is flattest, AIGFS most amped

I will say the H5 orientation and amplitude of the shortwave/vortmax of the EC AI looks like the 12z gfs op.

It does, but the ens means do as well.

Yeah…like you’re painting the maps with a small paint brush instead of a fine tipped marker. Like when the MRF would slap .01-0.10” in NW flow over all of New England when you knew it was just sensing the mountains and that we’d be dry while upslope areas dumped.

The resolution is what always puts me off with the AIs. There’s no fine details like the deterministic ops. Everything is more coarse and “fuzzy”. I feel like that would provide more consistency in the mid or long range, but would result in being over generous in the short range. That’s why I always treat them like ens means.