dendrite

HRRR modeled snowfall

I still think this is a little precarious of a setup south of the Pike, but we’ll see how it goes. The leading edge WAA precip is a little too far north and then you’re relying on the mid level cold front delivering…there’s a little low level dry air to start too. It may end up like a wild 1-2 hour line of snow with mixed graupel initially.

HRRR is almost a half inch of liquid here.

I had birch seeds blow onto my fresh snow…need to cover that up.

Anyway I’m just busting you in the dead zone. Let’s juice this system up more at 00z

Cold run…tenor Warm run…glue

Go to bed

But yeah…usually being south of the low in the “warm” sector doesn’t pan out well, but there’s been a couple of these now that have been able to buck the trend with some moisture advection with the southerly flow while staying cold enough to snow ahead of the cold fropa.

It was more a response to Wolfie’s 50th glue factory post since the start of the year.

Euro was the correct model with pushing the core of the last arctic shot to our west.

Bad start for da charts

27 at ORH today

Almost everyone will be above freezing Wed