SACRUS

1 hour ago, bluewave said:

A stalled out front will also do it like with the record flash flooding last September. 

https://www.weather.gov/okx/FlashFlooding_092518#picture

Looks like EPS could be signaling a front caught between trough and the Atlantic Ridge righ along, perhaps just inland from the EC later in the  end of next week of 9/26ish.  Either way 9/21 - 9/28 looks quite warm and steamy epecially towards the middle of next week.

1 hour ago, jfklganyc said:

Are those 5 days in the 80s 5 days out like this weeks heat wave was?

Just curious

Onshore (easterly/NE'rly) flow looks to subside and reverse by Fri/Say (9/20-21) with 850 temos in the 15-18C range, peaking at 18-19C next Sunday  (9/22) / Monday (9/23)

Looks like 2-4 days maybe 5 of 80s to potentially a few 90s in the warmer spots. 

9/15

LGA: 85
New Bnswk: 85
TEB: 85
PHL: 85
EWR: 84
ACY: 84
TTN: 83
NYC: 82
BLM: 82
JFK: 81
ISP: 80

Dews slowly dropping as it starts drying out

Clearing after quite a humid late summer evening

Guidance hinting at perhaps the next and last shot at any heat 9/21 - into the final work week of September 9/23.  Will be interesting to see if this is muted and foccussed more south towards the DC/MD/DE area.

9/11

TEB: 93
EWR: 91
LGA: 91
New Bnswk: 90
PHL: 90
BLM: 90
TTN: 89
NYC: 88
ACY: 88
JFK: 84
ISP: 81

On 4/26/2011 at 9:17 AM, SACRUS said:

2019:

PHL: 32 (April: 0; May: 1  ; June: 4 ; Jul: 18; Aug: 8 ; Sep: 2 )
EWR: 25 (April: 0; May: 1 ; June: 4 ; Jul:  14; Aug: 4 ; Sep: 2 )
TTN: 16 (April: ; May:  ; June: 3; Jul: 12 ; Aug:2 ; Sep: )
LGA: 24 (April: 0; May: ; June: 4 ; Jul: 14; Aug: 5; Sep:  1)
ACY: 30 (April: 0; May: 2 ; June: 5 ; Jul:  16; Aug: 6 ; Sep: 1)
TEB: 34 (April: 0; May:  ; June: 4 ; Jul: 17  ; Aug: 10; Sep: 2 )
NYC: 14 (April: 0; May:  ; June: 1 ; Jul: 10; Aug: 3 ; Sep: )
JFK: 7 (April: 0; May: ; June: 1; Jul: 5 ; Aug: 1 ; Sep: )
ISP: 8 (April: 0; May: ; June: 2 ; Jul: 5; Aug: 1 ; Sep: )
New Bnswk: 21 (April: , May: , June: 3, July: 12; Aug: 4 ;Sep: ; 2 )

89 degree days

EWR: 9
PHL: 9
LGA: 11
New Brnswck: 9
NYC: 3
JFK: 6
TEB: 3
ISP: 4
ACY: 2
TTN: 9
BLM: 1

-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

 

9/11

TEB: 93
EWR: 91
LGA: 91
New Bnswk: 90
PHL: 90
BLM: 90
TTN: 89
NYC: 88
ACY: 88
JFK: 84
ISP: 81

Clouds burning off and mostly sunny here now.

Down to 54 last night, another great weekend continuing the theme.

Next shot at 90 for the warmer (southern spots) Wed but gotta watch 'clouds getting in the way' then more ridging into the mid and sexond half of Sep.  Although it could be dirty ridgng with potential of tropical influences so while ridging and upper pattern signal very warm finish it may be way of warmer lows.  I think the following is possible

90 degree days from here on out

NYC: 1 (maybe 2)
EWR/ LGA: 2-3 
PHL: 3- 5

Just a bit outside

1 hour ago, bluewave said:

Yeah, that looks like the next time that some 90 degree heat may try to sneak in again. Short warm ups between big Canadian highs has been the theme since the end of July. The trough digs into the West 9/10-9/11 and really pumps up the WAR.

 

Has been nice fore sure and mainly dry.  This year was a similar progression as 2013 albeit less extreme both heat (Jul) and cool (Aug).  That Sep was slighlty below avg for the area.  Although its looking warmer towards mid Sep and the second half.

3 hours ago, bluewave said:

Yesterday  looks like it will be our last 90 degree day potential for a while. Canadian high pressure builds back in behind Dorian. Then another one in about a week passes by to our north. This has been a very persistent pattern since late August. We’ll have to see if the warm spots can sneak in maybe one more 90 degree day sometime in mid to late September.

 

9/10-11 looks warm on the guidance and may be similar to (9/4) especially for the warmer spots.  Beyond there, then way out there 9/15 - 9/17 may offer the next brief warm up where 850s look to rise to 16-18c.   Seems a back and forth type pattern still. 

13 hours ago, SnoSki14 said:

And today was the last of the 90s until next year.

Or next week Sep 11 - 17 period.

9/4:

TEB: 94
ACY: 92
PHL: 92
New Bnswk: 90
EWR: 90
TTN: 89
LGA: 89
BLM: 88
NYC: 87
JFK: 81
ISP: 80

On 4/26/2011 at 9:17 AM, SACRUS said:

2019:

PHL: 31 (April: 0; May: 1  ; June: 4 ; Jul: 18; Aug: 8 ; Sep: 1 )
EWR: 24 (April: 0; May: 1 ; June: 4 ; Jul:  14; Aug: 4 ; Sep: 1 )
TTN: 16 (April: ; May:  ; June: 3; Jul: 12 ; Aug:2 ; Sep: )
LGA: 23 (April: 0; May: ; June: 4 ; Jul: 14; Aug: 5; Sep: )
ACY: 30 (April: 0; May: 2 ; June: 5 ; Jul:  16; Aug: 6 ; Sep: 1)
TEB: 32 (April: 0; May:  ; June: 4 ; Jul: 17  ; Aug: 10; Sep: 1 )
NYC: 14 (April: 0; May:  ; June: 1 ; Jul: 10; Aug: 3 ; Sep: )
JFK: 7 (April: 0; May: ; June: 1; Jul: 5 ; Aug: 1 ; Sep: )
ISP: 8 (April: 0; May: ; June: 2 ; Jul: 5; Aug: 1 ; Sep: )
New Bnswk: 20 (April: , May: , June: 3, July: 12; Aug: 4 ;Sep: ; 1 )

89 degree days

EWR: 9
PHL: 9
LGA: 11
New Brnswck: 9
NYC: 3
JFK: 6
TEB: 3
ISP: 4
ACY: 2
TTN: 8
BLM: 1

-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

 

9/4:

TEB: 94
ACY: 92
PHL: 92
New Bnswk:90
EWR: 90
TTN: 89
LGA: 89
BLM: 88
NYC: 87
JFK: 81
ISP: 80

12 minutes ago, SnoSki14 said:

90s after 9/10 would indicate records being broken. 

There is evidence of a substantial ridge building in around that time though however 90s will be a tough sell, definitely not happening for the city. 

Park will be tough but other parts of the city (LGA, SI)  not totally out of the question lately ridges have been able to deliver on heat.  The brunt of the heat besides July, was to about or just south of Philly thanks to the record negative nao.  

Wed (9/4)  next shot at 90 and pending on how much rain falls or doesnt fall before then, maybe even the park can grab one or is it more 89's.  Beyond there, we'll see if the period 9/11 - 9/15 offers the next late season warmup to get another 90 before time runs out on warmth.  

Looking ahead back and forth 

9/4 : next shot at 90
9/9- 9/10 : cool shot 40s in suburbs
9/11 - 9/15 : warmup / potential 90s
9/16 : coold down back to normal (sep)

Evn though they will likely be spared any major impacts still amazing seeing this  220 miles from Miami/Ft Lauderdale lucky turn for them.

8/31

PH: 86
ACY: 84
TTN: 83
New Bnswk: 83
EWR: 83
TEB: 83
LGA: 82
JFK: 82
BLM: 81
NYC: 81
ISP: 80

 

79/57 here another great weekend to cap off the summer season.

8/30

LGA: 89
EWR: 89
TEB: 89
New Bnswk: 88
ACY: 88
PHL: 88
BLM: 87
TTN: 87
NYC: 86
JFK: 85
ISP: 82

1 hour ago, Stormlover74 said:

2007 had 6 straight sub 80 degree days including 3 below 70. The coldest being 59

1992 also had 3 or 4 sub 70 days in early August.  Not to say this month's recent cool isnt impressive, happening with no meaningful rainfal.   Tomorrow will make 8 at the park (3 at 79).  Sunday would likely offer the next below 80 high at NYC.