SACRUS
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Posts posted by SACRUS
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2 hours ago, bluewave said:
It would be nice if the Euro is correct about the stalled front merging with a coastal storm this week. Rain amounts like this would go a long way toward ending the drought conditions around here.
Id count on it - we're overdue for a deluge
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Up to a balmy 60 today off of 95 on wed. First raw cloudy all day spritz day like this since July 23rd.
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10/2
EWR: 96
ACY: 96
New Bnswk: 95
PHL: 95
JFK: 95
TEB: 95
LGA: 95
BLM: 94
NYC: 93
TTN: 93
ISP: 89 -
On 4/26/2011 at 9:17 AM, SACRUS said:
2019:
PHL: 33 (April: 0; May: 1 ; June: 4 ; Jul: 18; Aug: 8 ; Sep: 3 ; Oct: 1 )
EWR: 27 (April: 0; May: 1 ; June: 4 ; Jul: 14; Aug: 4 ; Sep: 3; Oct: 1 )
TTN: 17 (April: ; May: ; June: 3; Jul: 12 ; Aug:2 ; Sep: ; Oct: 1 )
LGA: 26 (April: 0; May: ; June: 4 ; Jul: 14; Aug: 5; Sep: 2; Oct: 1)
ACY: 32 (April: 0; May: 2 ; June: 5 ; Jul: 16; Aug: 6 ; Sep: 2 ; Oct: 1
TEB: 37 (April: 0; May: ; June: 4 ; Jul: 17 ; Aug: 10; Sep: 4; Oct: 1)
NYC: 15 (April: 0; May: ; June: 1 ; Jul: 10; Aug: 3 ; Sep: ; Oct: 1 )
JFK: 8 (April: 0; May: ; June: 1; Jul: 5 ; Aug: 1 ; Sep: ; Oct: 1 )
ISP: 8 (April: 0; May: ; June: 2 ; Jul: 5; Aug: 1 ; Sep: )
New Bnswk: 23 (April: , May: , June: 3, July: 12; Aug: 4 ;Sep: 3 ; Oct :1 )89 degree days
EWR: 10
PHL: 10
LGA: 11
New Brnswck: 9
NYC: 4
JFK: 6
TEB: 3
ISP: 5
ACY: 2
TTN: 10
BLM: 1-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
10/2
EWR: 96
ACY: 96
New Bnswk: 95
PHL: 95
JFK: 95
TEB: 95
LGA: 95
BLM: 94
NYC: 93
TTN: 93
ISP: 89-
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18 minutes ago, NYCweatherNOW said:
No 90’s for New York City but a miracle could happen. It has been heating up a bit more than models have projected.
Wed is the day if the park can make it. Thu looks cloudy. Then next shot in April
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9/28:
Clouds in the way today
TEB: 88
New Bnswk: 86
EWR: 86
TTN: 84
PHL: 84
NYC: 82
ACY: 82
LGA: 81
BLM: 80
JFK: 77
ISP: 76 -
0.09 rain yesterday. Another week of of warmth and temps should over perform (1 or r 90s) but again brunt and core of the late season heat a bit to our west and south.
Oct 5 - 7 look to feature a sharp contrast to the prior weeks warmth especially in New England, then followed by more of a back and forth progression to some warm days and steady stream of cold front.s
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Records October for reference
LGA:
10/1: 87 (1950) 10/2: 87 (2002) 10/3: 85 (2000) 10/4: 86 (2013) 10/5: 93 (1941) 10/6: 92 (1941)
EWR:
10/1: 85 (1986) 10/2: 86 (2013) 10/3: 85 (1950) 10/4: 89 (2013) 10/5: 93 (1941) 10/6: 91 (1959)
NYC:
10/1: 88 (1927) 10/2: 90 (1927) 10/3: 87 (1919) 10/4: 88 (1941) 10/5: 94 (1941) 10/6: 90 (1941)
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ECM surges 850 temps to 18C-20C Oct 2-3-4 (peak of the heat). With mostly sunny conditions, even in early Oct, temps should get to mid-upper 90s in the warmer spots. EWR 93 Sunday with 850 temps 16c.
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35 minutes ago, binbisso said:
There's no 90 degree heat in the next 7 days so don't know where people are getting that from. My forecast highs for Thursday Saturday Sunday and Monday are 82, 82, 79, and 76. And that's from 3 reliable Outlets there is a chance mid next week as the ridge moves East that we can get well into the 80s but that's way out there
Wait till wed/thu and see the point and clicks. 90s look very possible Sat-Sun and again Tue-wed next week Mon warmer spots. Cool-down around oct 5 may be temp with more warmth behind (not as warm-hot). Both this past Sat and Sun over perforemd. Even the park got to 89 yesterday 3-4 above guidance.
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9/23
EWR: 93
TEB: 92
PHL: 92
BLM: 91
New Bnswk: 90
ACY: 90
LGA: 90
NYC: 89
TTN: 89
JFK: 82
ISP: 81 -
On 4/26/2011 at 9:17 AM, SACRUS said:
2019:
PHL: 33 (April: 0; May: 1 ; June: 4 ; Jul: 18; Aug: 8 ; Sep: 3 )
EWR: 26 (April: 0; May: 1 ; June: 4 ; Jul: 14; Aug: 4 ; Sep: 3 )
TTN: 16 (April: ; May: ; June: 3; Jul: 12 ; Aug:2 ; Sep: )
LGA: 25 (April: 0; May: ; June: 4 ; Jul: 14; Aug: 5; Sep: 2)
ACY: 31 (April: 0; May: 2 ; June: 5 ; Jul: 16; Aug: 6 ; Sep: 2)
TEB: 36 (April: 0; May: ; June: 4 ; Jul: 17 ; Aug: 10; Sep: 4)
NYC: 14 (April: 0; May: ; June: 1 ; Jul: 10; Aug: 3 ; Sep: )
JFK: 7 (April: 0; May: ; June: 1; Jul: 5 ; Aug: 1 ; Sep: )
ISP: 8 (April: 0; May: ; June: 2 ; Jul: 5; Aug: 1 ; Sep: )
New Bnswk: 22 (April: , May: , June: 3, July: 12; Aug: 4 ;Sep: ; 3 )89 degree days
EWR: 10
PHL: 10
LGA: 11
New Brnswck: 9
NYC: 4
JFK: 6
TEB: 3
ISP: 4
ACY: 2
TTN: 10
BLM: 1-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
9/23
EWR: 93
TEB: 92
PHL: 92
BLM: 91
New Bnswk: 90
ACY: 90
LGA: 90
NYC: 89
TTN: 89
JFK: 82
ISP: 81-
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9/22
TEB: 92
EWR: 89
New Bnswk: 89
PHL: 89
TTN: 87
NYC: 86
LGA: 86
ACY: 85
BLM: 84
ISP: 81
JFK: 80 -
ECM surges 850’s to 16-19c next weekend and again by Tuesday oct 2nd. We’ll need to see if it is blunted west and south towards the DC area again as well as any tropical impacts on the flow. As bluewave noted, ridging looks glued to and along the east coast overall into October.
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Late Sep heat records may be in trouble next weekend 28th, 29th and perhaps to open October. But first lets check out late Sep records
LGA:
9/23 93 (1970)
9/24 91 (2017)
9/25 90 (2010*)
9/26 90 (2007)
9/27 90 (1988)
9/28 84 (2014*)
9/29 86 (1945)
9/30 88 (1986)EWR:
9/23 94 (1970) 9/24 92 (2017) 9/25 91 (1970) 9/26 90 (2007) 9/27 91 (1998) 9/28 87 (2014) 9/29 89 (1945) 9/30 89 (1986)
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2 hours ago, SnoSki14 said:
Serious short term drought could develop based on guidance showing little to no rain next 2 weeks and very warm temperatures.
Grass is already getting very brown.
The real, sustained ridge won't develop until Thu/Fri of this week. It may also cause TS Karen to impact the US as Euro shows.
You wonder if Karen eventual becomes the dry breaker and next deluge towards Oct 5th. Way out there.
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9-21
New Bnswk: 87
TEB: 86
EWR: 86
LGA: 86
ACY: 86
BLM: 85
TTN: 85
PHL: 85
NYC: 84
ISP: 82
JFK: 80 -
Another gorgeous weekend shaping up a wide majority going back to Memorial day. Looks like models hinting on seasonal theme with heat focuses a bit to our west and south but still very warm and a peak of 850s 1 r two days may deliver 90s. Especially next weekend 9/28-29.
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Its probably a matter of days before guidance starts to hint at the next deluge and transition from dry, if i was a betting man it likely comes before oct 18th. I would be very surprised if we didnt have that transition.
Ahead of there ridging dominates the east and above to much above normal temps. besides an outside 90 sun/mon, 26-28 looks like the next shot of late season heat.
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21 minutes ago, Stormlover74 said:
Ewr hit 49 this morning. Didnt drop below 50 until 10/13 last year
Lowest was 53 Sep 2018 and overall a +3.2 for the month . Doesn't look to go below 50 after tomorrow till after oct 7 from this very early projections
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Last few runs of the latest guidance (EPS especially) really building the ridge along the east coast once Humberto heads out. Still not fully clear the extent and focus of the late seaosn / early fall heat but Sep 21 - Oct 1 looking very warm.
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22 minutes ago, donsutherland1 said:
NYC reaches 77 today.
Thanks Don - the inter-hour maxes handnt updated for a few sites.
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9/16
ACY: 85
PHL: 84
BLM: 82
New Bnswk: 82
TTN: 81
EWR: 80
TEB: 80
JFK: 78
NYC: 77
LGA: 77
ISP: 75
October 2019 General Discussions & Observations Thread
in New York City Metro
Posted
That timeframe to watch for any shot at upper 70s to low 80s would be Oct 20th / 21s. It'll be interesting to track as guidance is suggesting heights build and 850s peak in the 10-15c range. Get enough sunshine and its very doable.