SACRUS

42 minutes ago, doncat said:

86/66 temp split today with 0.18" of rain...No 90° days here yet this month and none in the foreseeable future...Month has been pretty close to normal temp wise so far here in surburbia.

Monday looks like the next shot but may be more 88, 89's with the recent deluge.  Ridging with models now also hinting at surging 850s on/around 8/17.

8/9

ACY: 89
BLM: 88
PHL: 88
New Bnwk: 87
LGA: 87
EWR: 86
TEB: 86
TTN: 86
JFK: 85
NYC: 83

On 4/26/2011 at 9:17 AM, SACRUS said:

2019:

PHL: 25 (April: 0; May: 1  ; June: 4 ; Jul: 18; Aug: 3 ; Sep:  )
EWR: 20 (April: 0; May: 1 ; June: 4 ; Jul:  14; Aug: 1 ; Sep:  )
TTN: 15 (April: ; May:  ; June: 3; Jul: 12 ; Aug: ; Sep: )
LGA: 19 (April: 0; May: ; June: 4 ; Jul: 14; Aug: 1; Sep: )
ACY: 23 (April: 0; May: 2 ; June: 5 ; Jul:  16; Aug:  ; Sep: )
TEB: 25 (April: 0; May:  ; June: 4 ; Jul: 17  ; Aug: 4 ; Sep:  )
NYC: 11 (April: 0; May:  ; June: 1 ; Jul: 10; Aug:  ; Sep: )
JFK: 6 (April: 0; May: ; June: 1; Jul: 5 ; Aug: ; Sep: )
ISP: 7 (April: 0; May: ; June: 2 ; Jul: 5; Aug:  ; Sep: )
New Bnswk: 16 (April: , May: , June: 3, July: 12; Aug: 1 ;Sep: ;  )

89 degree days

EWR: 7
PHL: 6
LGA: 7
New Brnswck: 7
NYC: 3
JFK: 5
TEB: 3
ISP: 4
ACY: 2
TTN: 2
BLM: 1

 

8/7:

PHL: 91
TEB: 90
New Bnswk: 88
ACY: 88
LGA: 87
TTN: 87
BLM: 85
NYC: 84
EWR: 84
ISP: 84
JFK: 84

8/8

LGA: 92
ACY: 90
PHL: 89
TEB: 89
New Bnswk: 86
BLM: 87
EWR: 87
JFK: 84
TTN: 84
NYC: 84
ISP: 83

8/7:

PHL: 91
TEB: 90
New Bnswk: 88
ACY: 88
LGA: 87
TTN: 87
BLM: 85
NYC: 84
EWR: 84
ISP: 84
JFK: 84

&

8/8

LGA: 92
ACY: 90
PHL: 89
TEB: 89
New Bnswk: 86
BLM: 87
EWR: 87
JFK: 84
TTN: 84
NYC: 84
ISP: 83

88/73 here quite warm

5 minutes ago, Brian5671 said:

feels like the back of summer has been broken-last  2night were downright cool....sure it will heat up again, but wont be as bad as July

Interesting,  southern areas were quite humid last night made it down to 69 only with Dews climbing into the low 70s overnight.  

Dews up into the low 70s.  Not sure if any ensuing heat will match the Jul heat upper 90s/100 but models are building the WAR west and plenty of heat out west could hook with the WAR and spread east.  As of now safer bet low 90s on/around 8/14.  Slim shot Thu for 90 or better in the warmer spots pending on clouds.  

Humid here

71/69

2 hours ago, Rtd208 said:

Larry Cosgrove didn't seem to big on any substantial or lengthy cool down in his weekend newsletter so it's not surprising to see the models starting to show a warmer look again.

Yeah, i think the next surge of heat is delayed and not denied and we should heat up towards 8/15  with the WAR building in by 8/21 period.   As far as the weekend it wouldnt surprise me if things trended less cool and we are near normal.

8/5

PHL: 88
TEB: 86
ACY: 86
TTN: 85
New Brnswk: 83
NYC: 82
JFK: 82
ISP: 81
LGA: 81
EWR: 81
BLM: 79

ECM warmer than the GFS next week after the cooldown this weekend. May start to see models keying in on the next heat signal on/around 8/15. 

ECM - showing some heat around the area , strong heat just south by next tue (8/12-13), while GFS has a trough building in.  Wil lbe interesting if the cooldown kind of softens on the guidance.

8/4

EWR: 91
TEB: 90
New Bnswk: 90
PHL: 90
BLM: 90
JFK: 89
ACY: 89
TTN: 89
ISP: 88
LGA: 88
NYC: 87

On 4/26/2011 at 9:17 AM, SACRUS said:

2019:

PHL: 24 (April: 0; May: 1  ; June: 4 ; Jul: 18; Aug: 2 ; Sep:  )
EWR: 20 (April: 0; May: 1 ; June: 4 ; Jul:  14; Aug: 1 ; Sep:  )
TTN: 15 (April: ; May:  ; June: 3; Jul: 12 ; Aug: ; Sep: )
LGA: 18 (April: 0; May: ; June: 4 ; Jul: 14; Aug: ; Sep: )
ACY: 23 (April: 0; May: 2 ; June: 5 ; Jul:  16; Aug:  ; Sep: )
TEB: 24 (April: 0; May:  ; June: 4 ; Jul: 17  ; Aug: 3 ; Sep:  )
NYC: 11 (April: 0; May:  ; June: 1 ; Jul: 10; Aug:  ; Sep: )
JFK: 6 (April: 0; May: ; June: 1; Jul: 5 ; Aug: ; Sep: )
ISP: 7 (April: 0; May: ; June: 2 ; Jul: 5; Aug:  ; Sep: )
New Bnswk: 16 (April: , May: , June: 3, July: 12; Aug: 1 ;Sep: ;  )

89 degree days

EWR: 7
PHL: 5
LGA: 7
New Brnswck: 7
NYC: 3
JFK: 5
TEB: 2  ,
ISP: 4
ACY: 2
TTN: 2
BLM: 1

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8/4

EWR: 91
TEB: 90
New Bnswk: 90
PHL: 90
BLM: 90
JFK: 89
ACY: 89
TTN: 89
ISP: 88
LGA: 88
NYC: 87

9 minutes ago, weathermedic said:

Something definitely wrong with the Central Park thermometer 

Rained there last night.  Nothing wrong with the equipment or any sensors just poorly placed and a poor representation of the city area.

11AM Roundup

ACY: 86
New Bnswk: 85
PHL: 85
JFK: 84
BLM: 83
EWR: 83
ISP: 82
TEB: 82
TTN: 82
LGA: 81
NYC: 79

Looks like we have a shot at 90 in the warmer spots today and then again Wed (8/7) -Thu (8/8) (pending storms/clouds).

Beyond there, cooler 8/10 - 8/14.  I think we'll see a back and forth beyond there with a porgoression to  a warmer regime.  We'll see how cool it gets and how strong and long heat can push back into the region 8/15 - later in August.

8/3

TEB: 91
PHL: 89
LGA: 89
New Bnswk: 88
ACY: 87
TTN: 87
BLM: 85
NYC: 86
EWR: 85
JFK: 84
ISP: 84

3 minutes ago, Rtd208 said:

I think you meant 8/2?

Thanks Ron.  I adjusted.  I doubt we are much different today, anyways :-)

Looking ahead 

8/3 - 8/9 : will continue the near normal / bit warmer regime we've been in, teetering on 90  (upper 80s) and with enough sun, some spots push 90.

8/9 - 8/16 : Trough / wet and likely at or below normal. I still think the stronger heat will be delayed not denied following the progression after the EU heat just a bit delayed.  we'll track the cooldown and see how cool we get.  Already it is looking more next weekend than Thu as models had been initially honing in on.  Perhaps it adjusts over time. 

Stagant flow today , so a bit sticky but overall we should continue the theme of nice weekends this summer.  

8/2

TEB: 92
LGA: 88
New Bswk: 88
PHL: 87
EWR: 85
BLM: 85
TTN: 84
NYC: 84
ACY: 84
JFK: 82
ISP: 81

8/1

TEB: 95 (error)
PHL: 90
EWR: 89
New Bnswk: 89
JFK: 89
LGA: 88
ISP: 88
BLM: 88
NYC: 87
ACY: 86
TTN: 86

7/31:

TEB: 92
PHL: 92
ACY: 91
LGA: 90
New Bnswk: 90
EWR: 89 (6th of the season)
BLM: 89
NYC: 87
JFK: 86
TTN: 86
ISP: 85

On 4/26/2011 at 9:17 AM, SACRUS said:

2019:

PHL: 22 (April: 0; May: 1  ; June: 4 ; Jul: 18; Aug:  ; Sep:  )
EWR: 19 (April: 0; May: 1 ; June: 4 ; Jul:  14; Aug: ; Sep:  )
TTN: 15 (April: ; May:  ; June: 3; Jul: 12 ; Aug: ; Sep: )
LGA: 18 (April: 0; May: ; June: 4 ; Jul: 14; Aug: ; Sep: )
ACY: 23 (April: 0; May: 2 ; June: 5 ; Jul:  16; Aug:  ; Sep: )
TEB: 21 (April: 0; May:  ; June: 4 ; Jul: 17  ; Aug: ; Sep:  )
NYC: 11 (April: 0; May:  ; June: 1 ; Jul: 10; Aug:  ; Sep: )
JFK: 6 (April: 0; May: ; June: 1; Jul: 5 ; Aug: ; Sep: )
ISP: 7 (April: 0; May: ; June: 2 ; Jul: 5; Aug:  ; Sep: )
New Bnswk: 15 (April: , May: , June: 3, July: 12; Aug: ;Sep: ;  )

89 degree days

EWR: 6
PHL: 3
LGA: 6
New Brnswck: 6
NYC: 3
JFK: 4
TEB: 2  ,
ISP: 4
ACY: 1
TTN: 1

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7/31:

TEB: 92
PHL: 92
ACY: 91
LGA: 90
New Bnswk: 90
BLM: 89
EWR: 89
NYC: 87
JFK: 86
TTN: 86
ISP: 85