SACRUS

Humidity back 79/68 and partly sunny. Looks less stormy today that initially expected. Some clouds moving through as winds shift to SW. Today again with enough sun and assume storms are more scattered, we should see places outside the damp park reach 90. Tuesday (7/14) looks like a cooler version of Sunday but again temps near 90 before more onshore flow Wed - Thu. Dry / sunny and temps on mid 80s both days. Friday toss up day where if winds go around to the SW the heat is on. Starting Saturday (7/18) should see overall hot pattern beging (gfs seems too cool) and continue thru at least 7/25. Potential in the period for strong heat 95 (+) especially towards 7/20. ECm has 850s >16c for the period and peaking at >20c around next mon/tue (7/20-21) Have to watch weakness undercutting the ridge (season persistence) which looks anchored between the Plains and Mid West.

7/12 LGA: 93 EWR: 91 PHL: 91 ACY: 90 BLM: 90 JFK: 90 New Brnswck: 90 TTN: 89 TEB: 89 ISP: 87 NYC: 87

7/12 LGA: 93 EWR: 91 PHL: 91 ACY: 90 BLM: 90 JFK: 90 New Brnswck: 90 TTN: 89 TEB: 89 ISP: 87 NYC: 87

Noon Roundup Humidity dropped and DT in the low 60s / gorgeous day ACY: 88 EWR: 86 BLM: 86 PHL: 86 TTN: 85 JFK: 85 LGA: 85 New Brnswck: 85 ISP: 84 TEB: 83 NYC: --

July monthly Precip totals EWR: 6/74 TEB: 6.52 NYC: 4.02 NEw Brnswk: 3.99 LGA: 2.93 JFK: 2.89 TTN: 2.43 ISP: 1.67

7/10 (T Fay) ACY: 80 ISP: 80 JFK: 79 LGA: 79 EWR: 79 BLM: 79 New Brnswck: 78 NYC: 77 TTN: 77 TEB: 77 PHL: 76 ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 7/11 PHL: 90 New Brnswck: 89 BLM: 88 TTN: 88 ACY: 88 LGA: 88 EWR: 87 TEB: 86 NYC: 83 JFK: 82 ISP: 79

78/65 felling much less tropical today. Clear skies should get most stations outside the park to 90 today. Will post monthly precip totals next,. Warm and wet continues. ULL brings more E/ NE winds Wed - Thu before the heat is on. Lots of 88/ 89 days perhaps a 90 or two in the warmer spots Tue - Thu. Ridge centered a bit south for the extreme potential record breaking heat till at least 7/18, perhaps during the hottest time of the year it moves over the area.. Beyond storms tomorrow (Mon 7/13) the week looks to dry things out. Heights are high most of the next two weeks with a very hot airmass over much of the east. Flow will determine extent of maxes. ECM pushes 850 temps >16 by Fri PM and near 20c next weekend so what looked like strong heat Thu is now being forecast 7/18 - 7/21 (next weekend) as cutoff over New England moves through by 7/18. Overall as the heat comes and we are away from the center of the axis which meanders towards the plains then GL, storms should continue to be consistent so no true drying out.

Close to it, maybe eye crosses over the Beach Haven / LBI areas in the next hour.

Thru 4 OXB: 5.22 DOV: 4.71 WWD: 3.84 ACY: 3.25 PHL: 2.78 New Brnswck: 2.49 BLM: 2.12 EWR: 2.5 JFK: 2.09 TTN: 1.53 NYC: 1.90 ABE: 0.94 LGA: 1.90 ISP: TEB: 1.65

Totala thru 3:05 PM OXB: 5.22 DOV: 4.71 WWD: 3.83 ACY: 3.20 PHL: 2.74 New Brnswck: 2.32 BLM: 2.08 EWR: 1.6 JFK: 1.54 TTN: 1.51 NYC: 0.95 LGA: 0.88 ISP: 0.09 TEB: 0.79

Sun out (briefly) along Ortley beach

OXB: 5.19 DOV: 4.26 WWD: 3.81 ACY: 3.11 PHL: 2.24 BLM: 1.52 New Brnswck: 0.75 TTN: 0.47

OXB: 5.19 WWD: 3.78 DOV: 3.76 ACY: 3.11 PHL: 1.13 BLM: 0.63 TTN: 0.23

https://www.njweather.org/maps/mid-atlantic-radar-3-hour-loop

OXB: 5.17 WWD: 3.75 DOV: 3.16 ACY: 2.85 PHL: 0.50 BLM: 0.25

OXB (Ocean City): 5.08

WWD (Cape May) : 3.55 ACY: 2.44 DOV: 2.26 BLM: 0.12

https://www.njweather.org/maps/mid-atlantic-radar-3-hour-loop

WWD (Cape May) : 3.18 and couting (started rainig 5AM) ACY: DOV:: 1.45

DOV: 0.99 ACY: 0.68 last hour and still pouring