only 14 more model cycles suites to go. At this range the very close avg of all QPF has NYC spot on 1 inch which is quite a feat for such an aligned 96-120H forecast.
Even if the UK and Euro dont show this- with four days to go, its always a possibility with EC storms of this nature, but with the level of cold forecast i think we'll do quite well before / if any changeover occurs, regardless.
GGEM is 6-10 NYC with period of sleet. GGEM does have a bit of a warm / nw tendency at this range. Many of the good storms always have a period of sleet.