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About Casualbrain

  • Rank
    Bipolar Coastal Lows and Highs

Profile Information

  • Four Letter Airport Code For Weather Obs (Such as KDCA)
  • Gender
  • Location:
    Roanoke, VA
  • Interests
    Staying Alive

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  1. Casualbrain

    Hurricane Florence

    Let's hope it doesn't happen - but things are looking grim.
  2. Casualbrain

    Major Hurricane Florence

    Major flooding in the Roanoke River basin if this verifies.
  3. Casualbrain

    Major Hurricane Florence

    Ukie = mudslide city here in Western VA. I hope this doesn't verify...
  4. Casualbrain

    Major Hurricane Florence

    Check this out https://www.livescience.com/60354-how-hurricanes-impact-underwater-marine-life.html
  5. Casualbrain

    Major Hurricane Florence

    900 is what Camille was when it made landfall in '69. I had relatives in Western VA that told me harrowing tales of Camille - Florence is going to be deadly - especially if it moves inland. https://www.washingtonpost.com/news/capital-weather-gang/wp/2013/08/19/unprecedented-rain-hurricane-camilles-deadly-dlood-in-the-blue-ridge-mountains/?utm_term=.74dea3b04940
  6. Casualbrain

    Major Hurricane Florence

    Well dang - sorry all. Old timer here and didn't realize they changed the scale in 2012. Apologies. https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/pdf/sshws_2012rev.pdf
  7. Casualbrain

    Major Hurricane Florence

    Technically upper edge of Cat 3 - but yeah she's pretty much a Cat 4 at this point.
  8. Casualbrain

    Pattern abnormalities at 500mb

    Raleigh NC NWS posted the same graph for their area: https://twitter.com/NWSRaleigh/status/966374652804296709/photo/1
  9. Casualbrain

    Holidays 2017-18 Mid-Long Range Disco 2

    I think the odds of an epic MECS happening before February are about as high as me winning the Powerball tonight.
  10. Casualbrain

    Holidays 2017-18 Mid-Long Range Disco 2

    240's looking epic.
  11. Casualbrain

    December Banter String

    Merry Christmas to all, and to all a good blizzard.
  12. Casualbrain

    Holidays 2017-18 Mid-Long Range Disco

    Cool summary here https://blogs.weta.org/boundarystones/2014/11/13/1987-blizzard-discontent
  13. Casualbrain

    December 8/9th Storm - STORM MODE THREAD

    Pretty good fetch coming off of the gulf now: http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/east/eaus/h5-loop-wv.html
  14. Casualbrain

    December 8/9th Storm - STORM MODE THREAD

    He's using Kuchera ratios like these for Temp http://www.pivotalweather.com/model.php?m=rap&p=ratioku&rh=2017120818&fh=21&r=conus&dpdt= and snowfall ratios http://www.pivotalweather.com/model.php?m=rap&p=snku_012h&rh=2017120818&fh=21&r=conus&dpdt=
  15. Casualbrain

    Dec 8/9 Obs and discussion (Showme's) Storm

    Light Snow in Roanoke VA now. LOTS of Virga - can't see the mountains because of it, but some observable precip coming as snow currently. Hi/LoTemp: 39.6°F/33.9°F Temp: 33.9°F and falling Wind: 3.0 mph SSW Gust (hr.): 7.0 mph SSW 12:42PM Dew Pt: 28.3°F Humidity: 80 Pressure: 29.982 in. and falling