CaryWx

Thanks Stephen. The wind gusts tend to come in gales or at least with Fran they did. The intervals were not consistent that I recall but the winds tended to well up and get louder as the gale got closer. You would hear crashing or tree limbs snapping. The gale was then upon you for a minute or so. Then it would die down again while you waited for the next one. Like some twisted chinese water torture you just hoped the next one that came was not stronger and put a tree on your home. This went on for agonizing hours. Night time was the worst

Does anyone have a link to the latest power outage projection map for NC? Thanks

Sorry...What is IR?

Hope this is not what is modeled. Hugging the HPC forecast now.

Honestly? Following WRAL attm. Winds gusting to 43mph at peak time. No real clear indication on precip amts. Thinking way more than 2-3 inches. 5-7 inches more likely and maybe up to 8 inches of rain. This thing is big and a slow mover so lots of water over an extended period of time is a bad combination.

If the GFS is to be believed. Right now I'm not model hugging anymore like I was. Just too many solutions. Following the NHC products for about another 24hrs or until better consensus

We get an update from the NHC at 11am ET right?

Any chance this continues to maybe move south for landfall? Maybe down at MB?

So you're telling me I should put the top up on the convertible?

Wish I could believe that but this route is still tough for the Triangle. Not catastrophic though

Selfishly we want to be as far sw of the eye & eyewall as we can. Having this projected to pass anywhere south of the triangle in my opinion is not good. Doubt it is going across SC so anywhere north of there is just too close.

Is it me or has the path shifted more NW and east once on shore?

That's what I'm expecting. (assuming you meant "now" instead of "not") Hoping the Triangle ends up west of the eyewall in future runs but know that puts you more in the worst zone.

skeptical on these 20"-30" numbers unless doesn't move out of here.

Just to further echo Jet Stream Rider's post. I was in Cary, NC for Fran (c1996) and without power for 5 days plus had three trees on my house. This path, if to be believed, will rock not only the coastal plan but a great deal of the piedmont as well. I would take the initial steps for preparedness starting no later than Monday. It's projected landfall timetable has now raced ahead 12hrs. With Fran I was already without power when the eye came ashore 120 miles away.

Thanks fraz. Rarely go to the home page. I'll have to check it out. [I should get out more often] Mods, I'll stay off the sub forum with my rant then.

So how is it that complicated? A--Commitment to advertiser(s) who have paid for this type of annoying pop-up view and now the owner has a contractual obligation to uphold? <or> B--Technical changes required that are more complex and involve an AmericanWX VS reboot (assuming virtually hosted) and/or a re-boot of the hard host site thus requiring more detailed and planned coordination, etc? Inquiring minds...

Just had a big bowl of bean chili I simmered all day and washed it down with a couple nice ales. Need to come in here and vent a bit. Can somebody open a window in this thread. It'll be gone soon.

Damn boatload of long-term cold air we'll not likely see again this winter is going to be largely wasted.

According to the BRRR model it is 12 degrees outside.

NAM has "phase delay" apparently

so the 0z gfs will contain the onshore shmampling (ROAB) right?

He may be correct.

You just need to learn to etequate sir. Etequeting is what it's all about. Now etequate your posts