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buckeyefan1

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Everything posted by buckeyefan1

  1. It’s coming The control was a thing of beauty
  2. I do too!! Although I will never turn down mood flakes or a car topper either
  3. MBY had 2.5” as of 30ish minutes ago. It’s pouring outside
  4. Already have 1.5” and it is absolutely pouring outside. Temp is 40 with a wind chill of 33
  5. 26 degrees this morning as I look towards the west for the heavy rain heading this way
  6. I close my eyes, take a deep breath, slowly open one eye, then fully look each day when I check it looking to see if there's been a punt
  7. WWBB to Eastern then here, so 20+ years EDIT: Eastern came from WWBB and AMWX from Eastern. It's been a crazy ride and I can't believe that we've survived all these years. I've made so many friends here that have become family and have had some amazing memories
  8. @WeatherHawk You can disable all signatures in your settings
  9. Would you rather see a kitty?
  10. GSP says I get a 33 deg rain .SHORT TERM /FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY/... As of 230 PM Thursday: An active pattern for the short term as surface high pressure is nudged offshore and a series of shortwaves swing through the region. Starting off friday night, a closed upper low over the Central Plains lifts toward the northeast leaving behind a shortwave trough approaching the Appalachians. An approaching upper jet will assist with height falls ahead of the shortwaves along with a strong low level jet advecting moisture into the region Friday night. This will set the stage for precipitation to ramp up over the Carolinas. One of the key features during this time is the influence of the warm layer brought in from the LLJ and creating a deep warm nose. As moisture aloft moves in, wetbulb temps will cool the column of air and translate a saturated profile toward the surface by late Friday night. Meanwhile, the remnant high pressure to the east sets up an in-situ wedge of colder air ahead of the precip. How much cold air remains in place at the onset of precip is not entirely certain, but should be enough to allow for near freezing temps well before daybreak. The biggest concern for this storm system is the amount and location for where snow, rain, and freezing rain will take place. At the current time given the latest guidance, ice accretions of 0.05-0.24 are likely along the near the Blue Ridge Escarpment and NC Foothills. Ice accumulations have increased in the Henderson/Transylvania counties that could be locally higher than 0.25 inches. A Winter Storm Watch was issued for the Henderson through Caldwell/Alexander counties and expanded to include all of Transylvania, Polk and Rutherford. In SC, light ice up to 0.10 of an inch could occur along and north of I-85 from Spartanburg to Cherokee county, and into NC with 0.01-0.09 toward the south. Noting the anticipated deep warm nose, snow is less of a concern, but the NC mountains could see a trace up to 2 inches. Outside of the mountains, a cold rain is most likely precip type. Now, the challenges to this forecast come in the way of warm temperatures and the amount of moisture that can return to the area. At this time, temperatures from the NBM and CONSRaw show a swath of at or below freezing temps along the Escarpment. Given the in-situ wedge in place prior to precip arrival, temps are likely to reach these values. Freezing rain chances would decrease if surface temps are a degree or two warmer than current model guidance, increasing the chance for rain to become the dominate p-type. However, current guidance keeps temps at or just below freezing along the I-85 corridor and north. Confidence is increasing from moderate to high that some amount of FZRA will occur in this region, before transitioning over the rain after daybreak. With the current totals being near or at warning criteria, the current watch would most likely be upgraded to a Winter Storm Warning at a later forecast issuance and a likely Winter Weather Advisory issued for additional counties. Freezing rain should transition to rain around noon on Saturday, with rain moving out of the area from west to east by Saturday night. After this wave passes, a brief stint of NW flow snow is possible if any shallow moisture can remain in place along the TN/NC border, with a trace at best is expected.
  11. That is one legit block at the end of the GFS run
  12. GSP Sat-Wed .LONG TERM /SATURDAY NIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY/... As of 140 PM Wednesday: As the weekend storm pulls away on Saturday night and Sunday, some lingering upslope mixed precipitation will be possible along the NC-TN border but not much impact is expected. Otherwise, conditions will dry out with near normal temperatures Saturday night through Sunday night. A powerhouse storm system will begin to take shape across the south- central part of the country on Monday. A deepening upper low will move out of the southern plains toward the Great Lakes states by Monday night and Tuesday with an associated anomalously strong surface low rapidly developing and moving toward the Ohio Valley. This system looks to have a variety of impacts across the area from Monday night through Wednesday. Precipitation will rapidly spread across the forecast area on Monday night. Most of this will be rain, but there may be some high elevation snow with some light accumulations through early Tuesday before a changeover to rain. Very strong forcing and an enhanced low level focus along an eroding wedge boundary, along with upslope flow and anomalous precipitable water will create a scenario with very heavy rainfall possible on Tuesday. WPC is forecasting 3-4 inches of rain across a large portion of the forecast area Monday night and Tuesday and that seems reasonable with this setup. Models project the warm sector of this system to spread into the lower Piedmont of the Carolinas and Georgia Tuesday, so there may be some severe weather threat as well roughly along and southeast of Interstate 85. Winds may also be a concern with the strength of the surface gradient, low level jet and cold air advection on the backside of the system. Expect an improvement in conditions, but with some wind and cooler temperatures on Wednesday.
  13. Sexist or any kind of inappropriate comments are not acceptable. Period. You know where the door is if you don’t like it
  14. You should probably read more and post less
  15. Listen up folks. Keep this discussion about weather and leave the disgusting sexist comments out. This will be the only warning before you find yourself on the outside looking in.
  16. Pinning this because I’ll be using it a lot
  17. Happy New Year to the Best. Peeps. Ever. the SE CREW! May this year be filled with verifying clown maps with feet of snow that stays around for the duration of winter, spring rain for beautiful flowers and a safe severe season, summer thunderboomers with a few bendy trees and tropical systems to track, followed by beautiful vibrant fall colors season filled with football, family and fun Let the fun begin
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