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pasnownut

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Everything posted by pasnownut

  1. Glad to hear it. I like the potter club site just cause they have the live pics. That would've been my choice as well, but we didnt want to steal craigs (potter county site) thunder. Obviously we're trying to promote the area for more than just sledding. We also sponsor the trout tourney in May. Thats a big big draw (sometimes I think more than sledding) to the site. Enjoy
  2. lol. Until about 2 months ago, I was webmaster for, (and with the help of a tech gal) built the Pa Grand Canyon website that you peruse. Too much on my plate, so i gave it up to folks w/ more time on their hands. if you look at old trail condition reports...you'll see some signed by Nut...yep....its me. I know all of the crew that run the club and am friends w/ many of them as I'm still a member...just not webguy.
  3. been gazing at the potter county snowcam site off an on this morning. Yeah they are at 6" and still thumping. Likely a good bet for another thumpin this weekend. bottom of mountain below my place in Gaines. I'm sure I could add 1-2" to this (as often the case in normal events as I'm at 2275'. http://swedenhillsnocam.com/PAGSC2.jpg
  4. Yep. Timing and the look from 10,000ft (literally and figuratively) in areas like ours is extra critical, while our normal N and W crew have a little more wiggle room in their favor to get frozen. While I'm bummed, this year is more typical of what i remember growing up and even in more recent years as we rain/slop while HBG N and W cash in. With that said, it's a little more normal, which makes it a bit less painful for me. Like you said, maybe next year.
  5. It would be great to score down here. We need one. While I'm doin the debby, I hope for enough changes for something down here. I'd need some convincing though. And as i type, we now are back to snow in etown. Decent size flakes, and a tinge of white starting to show. Nice.
  6. SLP going south of us is great, but antecedent cold and column was very marginal here. Temp went from 33 last evening to 37 this am, and while that may be part of the culprit, look at the 511 cams. Its basically a blue mtn and NW special (think I suggested that yesterday...or was going to anyway). Heck even Voyagers cams are basically brown. Another in a long series of nothing burgers, and moving on to the snowtrain caboose...my worry for the weekend is that we once again wait for cold and here in the LSV, that likely doesn't bode well for us....and post frontal round here....meh. Yes, I'm sure norther westers may get snow on snow this week, as they've been on the right side of where we all want to be boundary wise. Us SE'rs notsomuch. Is what it is. Sorry to be a debbie, but indicies/timing of stuff has been off just enough this year to consistently screw up our chances...and nothing in our upper air pattern has shown enough difference to suggest otherwise wrt this weeks picture IMO. Will be interesting to see what the red taggers attribute it to. I don't visit other forums (excpt the NE when I'm bored and in need of snow chatter), but I'm sure someone will tell us. Things never seemed to sync up. PNA was workable, but we still needed help from NAO/AO and didnt get it., Enjoy the snow for all that are getting it. Thx for the pics.
  7. 9:30 obs steady light snow ( of the non stick variety). Still nice to see.
  8. I play hockey right (last night btw) off furnace hills (refreshing mtn). Middle Creek Wildlife preserve adjoins this area. Nice hiking/mtn biking...and hunting.
  9. I grew up one town next (Ephrata) and this was my stomping grounds. My bro's inlaws live on peartown rd (next road) SE of this location. When I was a competative cyclist, I trained on those roads/hills. Some real gut wrenching climbs to be had. Small compared to big woods, but steep as heck.
  10. Same here. 37 in akron and 35 in etown. Slushbombs mixing in here in etown, but mostly rain... meh.... Get your tickets for the last chance to ride the snow train for this Saturday. Morning GFS is already showing signs of folding for that one (here in LSV) as it's a mostly rain to backend snow showers deal....and we know how that works down here. Norther/westers look to get a last chance shellackin. Happy for them (and me as fortunately I'll be in clearfield/houtzdale area this weekend), so I hope to get to play one more time in the snow. What a shitty winter for us in the LSV. No way to polish that turd.
  11. verbatim some ENS guidance says after this weekends trough lifts out....it's curtains as everything lifts north and we spring. After spending a day in the Bahamas (Cocoa Cay), I'm throwing up the flag and ready to end my quest for snow. I've got plenty to do to keep busy and other ways to have fun while waiting for next fall to start all over again in my quest for snow....
  12. slushballs.....you make slushballs. I will say that Saturday looks like what may be our last chance at something notable winterwise. AO +2 and NAO +1 next week and beyond will put a pretty good sized fork in the winter, so let's hope we can enjoy some winter this weekend.
  13. While I cant hit the like button, this looks like it should. 2m temps at 33-34 may be overcome for snow in the air, but getting more than a slushy inch is gonna be tough down here. This depicts that challenge for us LSV'rs.
  14. Flew into MDT. NBD but while I know that a plane "creaking" is a good thing as it needs to flex....but at altitude its still a bit unnerving. Last night would have sucked to be flying.
  15. Yep. We finally get the storm track, but not enough cold for us LSV'rs. HRRR is showing this rather well. I'm on that limb with ya pal, so if it breaks, your not alone. if it were a couple degrees cooler going in...I'd be a tad more excited....but I'm not.
  16. Flying back from FL was a bit fun yesterday afternoon. Wasnt too bad, but last hour was rather roller coaster ish. Glad we werent coming back last night. Looks like we have a chance at some slushy accums tomorrow. Looks like a blue mtn north special incoming. Hope y'all enjoy your slushy couple inches (for those that get it). Car topper is my bar down here.
  17. Yeah it looks like things are close enough to not write them off, but I'm not sure its sustained...more of a window of opp IMO. I see several cutters with post frontal cold...largely a repeat of what we've been seeing. Per ensemble guidance, several day period around green beer day might have some legs, as the cold dome favors eastern Canada, and can be tapped into, but it doesnt appear like troughing is deep enough in the east to get it done IMO. Most of us that have started to check out just know that sun angles n stuff start to show up in whatever we can eek out anyways, and that said, March needs to be a go big or go home kinda deal to make it last a little (well for me anyway). Tellies havent really changed much (not very favorable for NAO/AO for us easters with a neutral look at best), and verbatim, after that mid month window, they suggest a slam the door shut kinda look for us snow hounds as the AO heads for the true Arctic and warm boundary soars north. Spring will be springin for sure, and even if we see normalish, we all know its really tough after mid month, and if the tellies hold...were done/cooked after that. If trainers boy is right about April, it really doesn't matter to me, as the difference between 45 n rain vs 55 n rain....for winter lovers...who cares. While we may sneak 1 or 2 shots in, it is what it is...and I'll sure take em, but I'm not seeing enough to get remotely excited about. Keep searchin pal...you deserve a good one in your name, and I'll be happy to cheer you onto victory. I'll be glad to pull out shovels/blower...heck even sleds for one more go, but the realist in me is just writing this year off as damaged goods. Maybe next year....
  18. Not sure I'm going w/ the worst because we've had stuff to track, but lets just say the digital snow slaughtered the actual snow (and yes, I know it usually does) - but at least when 6" is modeled and we get 3-4"....we still got something. This year natsomuch. The phrase "craptastic" should now be put into the dictionary of weather terminology.. Craptastic - 21-22' potential vs realized snow totals in the LSV.
  19. If there was 3-6" of snow OTG, I'd be right w/ ya.....But to me personally....meh... I'm a snow hound. What else can i say? Hope those who have white, enjoy it for as long as they can.
  20. snow cams in Tug/Lowville/Old Forge area look decent, but not sure how much. I'd guess they got 6+, but a webcam is not the most accurate way to measure..
  21. seeing the landscape on drive in, I'd say it was rather uniform in my .1 accretion estimate. I'm sure the microclimate thingy could prove that wrong in certain areas, but Lanco was a run of the mill minor event.
  22. Just confirmed Coudersport to Galeton areas received 2" of snow/sleet. Underperformed up there for sure. Sledders are NOT happy.
  23. Just having driven 28 miles to work, it was a nothingburger....and I'd say GET TO WORK!!!
  24. JMO's but neutral aint gonna cut it in March (we'll I guess you'd say it is)...cause we'll be getting cutters or wrong side of boundary as we need NAO to suppress the flow in the east. Believe me when I say I wanna be wrong.
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