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pasnownut

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Everything posted by pasnownut

  1. pasnownut
    yeah were all "down w da sickness"
  2. pasnownut
    or at the 0z's He can say all he wants, but hes a sucker for punishment - like most of us some of us just wear it better than others
  3. pasnownut
    Still setting a low bar down here in SE Pa for this weekend. Nice to see the Ens guidance still notably east, but soon enough (like tomorrow) we need to start paying more attention to the Op's (good or bad) as they will start to hone in on the have's and have nots for this weekend. Beyond that its silly to put much credence into individual storm disco other than general chances and pattern evolution.
  4. pasnownut
    I wish you were wrong but the word horrid'r comes to mind. Run to run variations are just crazy at long range, but even into the mid range its just dizzying.
  5. pasnownut
    Not for me it’s not. Verbatim it’s rather painful….but that how it goes. #makinbelieversouttaheathens
  6. pasnownut
    And if it’s not…. I’ll be your pal no matter what the friggin weather does.
  7. pasnownut
    Posting snow maps. You rebel I like it
  8. pasnownut
    Just a reminder of all of our spring snow events when its 50 the day before and a winter wonderland the next day. Not saying I like getting snow that way, but I'll take my chances in prime time climo w/ a storm south of our latitude...no matter the result. While its not south on every model, there is a trend in that direction. Guess we'll find out soon enough....or when the 18z GFS has it back in the UP of Michigan. flipppidy flop the model goes....
  9. pasnownut
    Thats the big reason many are here...correct. Rug may once again be pulled out....but if so, it wont be for the same reasons, as the PAC is starting its transition away from trough to ridging. THATS my takeaway, but for some, it doesnt matter how you fail...its still the same (and rather understandable).
  10. pasnownut
    and if thats not enough, same areas that get hit on the Churchgoersunite special...go look at the GooFuS for mid next week. verbatim you get shellacked mid next week. Again, its nice to see better looks and thats all I'm taking from it for now.
  11. pasnownut
    and furthermore, the GFS in the last 4 runs has trended notably further SE on each run. Go loop for yourselves. Nice nooners. Been a while.
  12. pasnownut
    True Central approved of the Kanook model as well. As stated earlier, I'm on the outside for this one, but if I were in central/northern pa, i'd be watchin this bad boy. Im not parsin over specifics at 4 days, but there's enough decent looks to not throw this one aside...and compared to where we've been its a refreshing change.
  13. pasnownut
    If this is wrong....it feels so right. edit: map already posted but his non heathen will leave it up.
  14. pasnownut
    as we try to decide if we are gonna take sleigh or boat to church, the normal upslopers look to get a fresh coating of white stuff in advance of it. (map shown for visual appeal and NOT a forecast). Cant believe we still have to type a disclaimer so deep into weather discos, but some think we print out pics of snowmaps and tape them to windows waiting to verify.
  15. pasnownut
    or is that the coffee just doing its thingy.........
  16. pasnownut
    and thats why I said yesterday that we may not be good for the "church" storm, but while it's creepin the wrong way, its still getting a lot closer to being good for us. thats they point I've been trying to make.
  17. pasnownut
    Nice work Blizz. You're all over this one, so keep up the good mojo and bring it home for us (well us as in most of the forum, as I'm likely in trouble down here).
  18. pasnownut
    pattern change we've been looking at has been slated to start later this week, so as we all should know, that doesnt mean we flick a switch to snow TV. May have a cut or 2 left before we stop the bleeding while canada cools and starts to feed us some 540s that get below us for once. Good news is like you shared, GFS is becoming more of an outlier in it's presentation. Pac reshuffle is step 1 and wouldnt surprise me if that 23 deal gets better but maybe not quite there yet.
  19. pasnownut
    that is a nice look. nice to see op runs staring to latch onto the changes upstairs.
  20. pasnownut
    just bustin your stones. I drive by rock lititz every day and today was a tad more busy. didnt know that's where he was getting sworn at...I mean in.
  21. pasnownut
    some might suggest you are a sicko for just attending.....
  22. pasnownut
    Looking at overnighters, I'm increasingly encouraged by the changes showing up aoa 100hrs+, as the PAC regime change starts to show and we get ridging popping up around the Aleutians which likely holds the key for better times as we can tap into the cooler temps. This isnt quite the look we want, but once we get out to 144 and beyond one can see that cause/effect in the conus. By 180 pattern becomes established...and chances should come. Lets hope it holds. Better for the show to start late than never.
  23. pasnownut
    having the Euro/CMC/Icon showing colder solutions is good to see. It'd be nice to see the GFS go back to being useless like we once knew it to be...
  24. pasnownut
    yeah us lower susqu folks are not looking to good right now. Plenty of time for changes....better or worse, but hoping the GFS is on crack n we can find a way to score.
  25. pasnownut
    Like i said, better for true central/northers.
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